Monday's NCAA Basketball Picks: Cash In With Our Top Value Plays

Matthew Jordan

Monday, February 22, 2016 3:01 PM GMT

Monday, Feb. 22, 2016 3:01 PM GMT

The second place in the Atlantic Coast Conference is on the line with the Virginia vs. Miami game. Here are my top three picks for Monday with NCAA basketball odds.

No. 7 Virginia vs. No. 11 Miami (-1.5 On NCAA Basketball Odds)
These rankings are before the new ones come out Monday so they could change. Virginia (21-5, 10-4) starts a really tough week here as on Saturday the Wahoos go to ACC-leading North Carolina. UVA played just once last week, beating NC State 73-53 behind 22 points from star Malcolm Brogdon. I don't expect this to be a very high-scoring game as the Cavaliers are second in the nation in scoring defense, allowing 59.5 points per game. Defense has long been the calling card of Coach Tony Bennett. The Wahoos are 4-0 against ranked teams this season. Yes, they did lose to Duke recently but that was when the Blue Devils were unranked.

It's just the second time in school history that UVA has started a season 4-0 vs.  AP ranked teams. Miami (21-5, 10-4) had a shot to take over sole possession of first in the ACC on Saturday but it lost at No. 5 North Carolina 96-71 -- I recommended the Heels and giving the 5.5 points in that one. In fact, I wrote that I fully expected a double-digit UNC win. The Heels shot 54 percent and lead by as many as 38. The Hurricanes also saw guard Ja'Quan Newton leave in the second half with what Coach Jim Larranaga said appeared to be a bone bruise to Newton's left shin. The sophomore averages 11.1 points per game and is questionable here. Virginia has won three in a row vs. Miami, including 66-58 at home on Jan. 12. Brogdon led the way with 20 points. Virginia used an 11-2 run in the second half to turn a 43-41 deficit into a 52-45 lead with under eight minutes left and wouldn't trail again. Go for Virginia. The Cavs are 5-0 ATS in their past five vs. teams with a winning record. Miami is 1-4 ATS in its past five after a loss.

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Virginia +1
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

 

No. 13 Iowa State vs. No. 10 West Virginia (-5.5 In NCAA Betting)
Another night, another Top-25 matchup in the ultra-deep Big 12. Iowa State (19-8, 8-6) is looking for its first back-to-back wins since Jan. 23 & 25. The Cyclones beat TCU on Saturday, 92-83. Deonte Burton had a big game with 23 points and 14 rebounds. ISU played without forward Jameel McKay for what the team said was a coaching decision. McKay, who averages 11.7 points and 8.7 rebounds, had been suspended two games earlier this month for violating team rules. Apparently he will be available here. He was missed Saturday despite the win as Iowa State gave up 20 offensive rebounds to a TCU team that was the worst rebounding team in the Big 12.

West Virginia (20-7, 9-5) is in a three-way tie for second in the conference, two games behind Kansas. WVU was beaten at home by No. 3 Oklahoma on Saturday, 76-62. The game was tied at 52 with under eight minutes left but then the Mountaineers went about four minutes without a bucket. West Virginia shot 33 percent (21 of 63) from the field overall. Starting guard Daxter Miles Jr. missed a second game in a row with a hamstring injury and is questionable here. The sophomore averages 10.1 points per game. WVU won at Iowa State 81-76 on Feb. 2. Devin Williams had 17 points and 18 rebounds for the Mountaineers, who rallied from a 15-point deficit. ISU leads the all-time series 5-1. The Cyclones are 4-0-1 ATS in their past five Monday games. Looking at the NCAA basketball odds boards, WVU is 0-4 ATS in its past four following a double-digit home loss.

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Iowa +5.5
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

 

Iona vs. Siena (-2 For NCAA Basketball Picks)
Iona (16-10, 13-4) still has a shot to win the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference regular-season title after the Gaels upset MAAC-leading Monmouth 83-67 on Friday in New Jersey. The Gaels scored 19 consecutive points (Monmouth was scoreless for seven-plus minutes) to take a 15-point lead with eight minutes left in the first half. And that was pretty much the game. A.J. English led Iona with 31 points. Monmouth would have clinched the title with a win. Iona would have to win out and have Monmouth  lose out to get the title. Siena (19-9, 12-5) is third in the conference, a game behind Iona.

The Saints won at Rider 84-64 on Saturday for their third straight win. They have clinched a first-round bye in the conference tournament but now have eyes on the No. 2 seed with a win here. Siena hasn't won 20 games in the regular season since 2009-10. Siena beat Iona on Feb. 13 in New Rochelle, 81-78, rallying from 12 points down. That ended a seven-game losing streak to the Gaels and was Siena's first win at Iona in six years. English had 34 points in the loss and missed a long 3-pointer as time expired. My NCAA basketball pick has to be Siena, which is 11-1 at home this season. The Saints are 8-2-1 ATS in their past 11 at home. Iona is 1-4 ATS in its past five vs. teams with a winning record.

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Siena -1
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle 

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