Momentum & Recent Record vs. Wake Forest Make Duke -8 The NCAA Basketball Pick

Nikki Adams

Wednesday, January 6, 2016 6:58 PM GMT

Wednesday, Jan. 6, 2016 6:58 PM GMT

Duke is looking to clinch a fourth straight win as it descends on Wake Forest in Wednesday Night. Check out our basketball betting primer on this game, complete with NCAA Basketball picks.

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NCAA Basketball Picks: Duke -8

Best Line Offered: at Heritage

 

Duke (1-0 CONF, 12-2 OVERALL)
ACC Standings: 5th
Overall Ranking: 14th

The Duke Blue Devils are riding the momentum of a three-game winning streak into Wednesday’s highly anticipated clash with the much improved Wake Forest Demon Deacons. The Blue Devils boast a 12-2 SU record on the season, which includes an 18.6 winning margin on average and a plus 1.5-point differential versus the spread. Overall, they are 6-6-1 ATS on the season and have an 8-5 OVER record.

Going into Wednesday, Duke are after beating ELON 105-66, LBSU 103-81 and BC 81-64, a run of form that has them going 2-1 ATS. They covered as the hefty 24.5-point favorites at home to ELON and the 14.5-point faves on the road to BC. The only miss against the spread was against LBSU where they missed the cover as the 23-point home chalk.

 

Wake Forest (0-1 CONF, 9-4 OVERALL)
ACC Standings: 11th

Wake Forest go into Wednesday’s game on modest form, having split their last four games evenly. Most recently, they are coming off a loss on the road to Louisville and will be looking to bounce back over their lofty rivals at home.

An 83-77 win over CCAR marked their fifth straight win in the lead up to Christmas, but it followed with a 78-70 loss to the then-No.6 XAV on December 22, made all the more heart breaking as they were leading by 18 and could have pulled off the win before the wheels came undone and they fell to defeat.

The Demon Deacons bounced back with a 77-71 win over LSU on Dec 29, finishing 2015 on a positive note. However, on the heels of the New Year, they succumbed to their fourth loss of the season to the then-No.18 Louisville, losing 65-57.

Overall, Wake Forest are 9-4 SU on the season with a 5-6 ATS record highlighted by a 0.1-point losing margin and a plus 2-point differential versus the spread. In their last six games, they are just 2-4 ATS. On the season, they are 4-7 in O/U betting, riding three straight UNDERs into Wednesday’s date with Duke.

Here you can find our NCAA Basketball Picks of the Day

NCAA Basketball Betting Verdict
As it is, there are no real surprises on the NCAA Basketball odds board. Wake Forest are installed as the 8-point home underdogs to their lofty rivals Duke while the total is trading at 158.5. For the outright upset, Wake Forest is priced at +300 NCAA Basketball odds to Wake Forest, the implacable favorites at -380 to win outright.

Last season, Duke beat Wake Forest comprehensively, a 94-51 home victory over the Demon Decons on March 4. Clearly, by the NCAA Basketball odds the game is expected to be contested closely, what with Duke being on the road and Wake Forest playing much better this season. Still, since a rare 75-77 loss to Utah, Duke have won three straight and outscored opponents 289-to-211 for an average of 26-points per game differential. If that run of form continues in this ACC showdown, Duke could very well cover the 8-point spread handily. What’s more, Duke have won 10 of the last 11 meetings, including the last two since an 82-72 upsetting loss on March 5, 2014.

NCAAB betting trends reveals Wake Forest has a slight edge with 52% of spread tickets coming down the wire piling on the home underdogs. For our money, we’re fading the public and taking Duke to cover as the 8-point road chalk with our NCAA Basketball picks.

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