It will be an all-SEC affair in the Women’s Division I Basketball Tournament championship game at American Airlines Arena as A’ja Wilson and South Carolina face Mississippi State. With the Gamecocks having the best player on the hardwood in Wilson and a 10-game win streak against the Bulldogs, playing the favorite and laying the 3 points seems the safest approach and pick here.
American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
6 p.m. ET
Stockton Regional winners South Carolina (32-4 SU) face UConn giant-Killers Mississippi State (34-4) in the Women’s NCAA Tournament Championship game at American Airlines Arena in Dallas on Sunday night. Offshore sportsbook BetOnline has opened the Gamecocks 3-point favorites (-115) with a Total of 132.
SEC Player of the Year A’ja Wilson (17.9 ppg, 7.4 rpg) and the Gamecocks come in on a 10-game win streak after clocking Quinnipiac by 42 in the Sweet Sixteen (100-58), covering in the Regional Final Monday as 5-point favorites against FSU (71-64) and ousted Stanford in the Final Four Friday. All of that with the help of Wilson, Allisha Gray, and Tyasha Harris.
Mississippi State and Head Coach Vic Schaefer have now registered a school-record 34 wins in making its first Final Four (and Championship game obviously) after knocking off top-ranked Connecticut on Friday in the Final Four, easily covering ATS as 21½-point underdogs in a game some have dubbed the biggest upset in Women’s college basketball history as the four-time defending champion Huskies saw their 111-game winning and 28-game NCAA Tournament streaks go poof as Morgan Williams (13 points) hit a fadeaway jumper with time running out to slay the mighty dragon.
The Bulldogs rank #9 in the nation in TO’s created (6.95 pg) and forced 17 against UConn in their historic 66-64 OT win which saw Victoria Vivians, Morgan William, and Teira McCown all finish in double-digits.
Conclusions and Pick
Mississippi State (13-3 SEC) has already lost to South Carolina twice this season (by 3 and 10), including in the SEC Championship Game on March 5, 59-49, as Wilson scored 23 points. A deeper handicapping dive reveals the Gamecocks have W10 straight against the Bulldogs by an average of 10.1 ppg with Mississippi State’s last win over South Carolina coming way back in the 2009-10 season.
With that in mind, the confidence gained from an 11-point loss to UConn at Storrs Feb. 13 (66-55) and the psychic energy, the Gamecocks (14-2 SEC) and the best player on the court Wilson are my college basketball pick.
Free NCAAB Pick: South Carolina -3 -115Best Line offered: at BetOnline