Michigan's Run Will Continue Past Oregon & Into Elite Eight

michigan basketball

Jay Pryce

Monday, March 20, 2017 3:08 PM GMT

No. 3 Oregon and No. 7 Michigan tussle in the tightest betting matchup of the Sweet 16 on Thursday (7:10 p.m. ET) at the Sprint Center in Kansas City, Mo. Which way are you going on the spread?

No. 7 Michigan vs. No. 3 Oregon

Midwest Region, Sweet 16, Kansas City, Thursday, 7:10 p.m. ET

NAT TV: CBS

Oddsmakers listed seventh-seeded Michigan (26-11 SU, 17-17 ATS) at +8000 odds to win the NCAA Tournament prior to the first round. Now the Wolverines are looking one of the liveliest bets on the board following wins over Louisville and Oklahoma State. Over the last two months, head coach John Beilein’s squad is 12-2 SU and 10-4 ATS. Hot shooting is propelling the late-season surge. Scoring 77.1 points per game, Michigan is averaging 51 percent from the field in this stretch, including 39.6 from downtown.

Third-seeded Oregon (31-5 SU, 20-14-1 ATS) rallied from an 11-point halftime deficit to beat Rhode Island 75-72 on Sunday, advancing to the Sweet 16 for the third time in five years. Guard Tyler Dorsey is stepping up his game in the clutch. In the Ducks’ five postseason contests, he has scored 21 points or more in each. Dorsey eclipsed 20 just four times the entire regular season.

Oregon has been a great bet late in the year under head coach Dana Altman. Since 2011, the Ducks are 32-11 SU and 29-13-1 ATS in the months of March and April. Against non-conference opponents in this span, they are 11-4 SU and ATS. Altman’s squad is getting a little help in its showdown with Michigan. Sportsbooks opened the Wolverines as 1.5-point favorites for Thursday’s tip-off.

The Ducks lost three games all season since dropping a pair in their first four. They rolled over inferior competition much of the year, but look penetrable against tougher. Oregon is 6-4 SU and 5-4-1 ATS in 10 games with a line greater than 7 points. It has gone off 1.5-point favorite on average. Hot shooting teams have been the Ducks' kryptonite under these conditions, losing three of six against foes averaging 45 percent or better from the field in their last 10 games. The Wolverines own the highest rate of all at 51 percents in their last 10 games entering this matchup. Michigan stays on fire and advances to face either No. 1 Kansas or No. 4 Purdue, a fellow Big Ten foe. 

 

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