Michigan vs. Maryland Prediction Today: Big Ten Semifinal Best Bets, Score Picks & Odds
Michigan will look to defy the odds in a second straight Big Ten matchup when it takes on Maryland in the conference tournament semifinal. Tipoff today is slated for 3:30 p.m. ET (CBS) from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis.
Our Michigan vs. Maryland prediction, odds, and expert picks expect the Wolverines' luck to run out in the semifinal stage, as it often has against elite teams from the Big Ten. Our best sports betting sites list the Terrapins as 4.5-point favorites.
Could lightning strike twice for Michigan, who is in a similar spot as it was against Purdue with oddsmakers? It'll be difficult against a disciplined Maryland team this afternoon with a trip to the Big Ten tournament title on the line.
💰 Michigan vs. Maryland predictions, expert picks & best bets: Big Ten semifinal
Here are my best Michigan vs. Maryland predictions, expert picks, and best bets today for the Big Ten semifinal with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. Be sure to check out the rest of our college basketball picks along with our guide on how to bet on college basketball.
- Against the spread pick: Maryland -4.5 (-110 via FanDuel) vs. Michigan ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- My best player prop bet: Danny Wolf Over 14.5 points (+100 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Exact score prediction: Maryland 77, Michigan 68 (+27000 via FanDuel)
👉 Check out our latest March Madness projections with our SBR Bracketology ahead of the NCAA Tournament!
🏀 Michigan vs. Maryland ATS prediction & best player prop bet pick
Here's why I'm betting on Maryland to cover the spread (-4.5) while targeting Danny Wolf Over 14.5 points as my best player prop bet pick for today:
✅ Maryland to cover the spread (-4.5) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Michigan dropped a home game to Maryland by six points back on March 5, but showed renewed vigor in its performance with how it handled Purdue on Friday, 86-68, despite being an underdog. Still, there’s a difference between Purdue and the caliber of Big Ten foe the Wolverines will see today.
Maryland is fourth in the nation in Torvik Power Rating during March, while Michigan has fallen to 59th this month.
The Wolverines went through much of the year looking like a truly elite team, but when they met the likes of Michigan State and Maryland down the stretch, they couldn’t hold up. Michigan is 0-3 against the two teams atop the conference. A recent blowout against Illinois was also concerning.
The Wolverines' recent lackluster offense (86th in adjusted offensive efficiency in March) should struggle again to crack Maryland’s sixth-ranked adjusted defensive efficiency.
📊 Best odds: -110 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $9.09)
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🔥 Danny Wolf Over 14.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Even in a losing effort against Maryland in a matchup 10 days ago, Michigan big man Danny Wolf was a proficient scorer. He poured in 20 points for the sixth time on the season.
Wolf has cleared this line 14 times on the season and has now reached 18 or more points in three consecutive games. We like Wolf’s line at an attainable 14.5 points with even odds from FanDuel, with an up-tempo game expected today.
📊 Best odds: +100 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $10)
🎯 Expert Michigan vs. Maryland score prediction
🔮 Expert score prediction: Maryland 77, Michigan 68
It was a bit of a surprise to see Michigan and Maryland recently play to a 71-65 final with both teams ranked in the top-75 in adjusted tempo. The total for Saturday stretches to 149.5, far beyond the scoring the previous matchup saw.
While I still lean Under on that line, I think we see Maryland push the scoring a bit higher than at Crisler Center a couple weeks ago. Meanwhile, the Wolverines struggle to have the same efficient outing as they had against Purdue, resulting in their fourth straight sub-70-point performance against the Big Ten’s top two teams.
📊 Best odds: +27000 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $2,700)
📊 Live Michigan vs. Maryland odds & latest betting splits
Here are the latest odds for Michigan vs. Maryland, which update live in real time. You can also check out our NEW college basketball player prop odds tool for the latest college basketball odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your region.
The spread for today's Michigan vs. Maryland matchup has remained the same in the hours leading up to tipoff. The moneyline has moved slightly in the Wolverines' favor, though, as the Terrapins dropped from -220 to -210 at our best live betting sites.
🔢 Michigan vs. Maryland opening odds
Here's a look at the opening odds for Michigan vs. Maryland according to FanDuel.
- Spread: Michigan +4.5 (-110) | Maryland -4.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Michigan +165 | Maryland -200
- Over/Under: Over 150.5 (-105) | Under 150.5 (-115)
🏆 Who will win Michigan vs. Maryland?
As of 2 p.m. ET, Maryland is favored by 4.5 points (-115) to beat Michigan with moneyline odds of -210 at BetMGM, which suggest a 67.74% win probability for the Terrapins. We're predicting a 77-68 win for Maryland as our final score projection.
So far, 63% of bettors have wagered against the spread on Maryland -4.5, while 57% of bettors expect the game to finish Over the projected total of 149.5 points.
📺 How to watch Michigan vs. Maryland today
📅 Date: Saturday, March 15
🕗 Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis)
📺 TV: CBS
💻 Streaming: Paramount+
❓ Michigan vs. Maryland FAQs
Who's favored to win the Big Ten tournament?
Michigan State is favored to win the Big Ten tournament with +175 odds at FanDuel.
Who is favored to win Michigan vs. Maryland?
Maryland is favored to win against Michigan with -210 odds on the moneyline from BetMGM, which equates to an implied win probability of 67.74%.
What are the betting odds for Michigan vs. Maryland?
The latest spread at our best live betting sites is Michigan +5 (-115) | Maryland -4.5 (-110), with a total of 149.5 points (-110).
What will be the final score of Michigan vs. Maryland?
We're predicting a final score of Maryland 77, Michigan 68 entering tonight's matchup at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
What time is Michigan vs. Maryland tonight?
Tipoff is scheduled for today at 3:30 p.m. ET.
⛹️ Best college basketball betting sites
Looking to bet on college basketball tonight? Here are our best March Madness betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best March Madness betting promos ahead of the NCAA Tournament.
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