Maryland vs. Hawai'i NCAA Tournament Picks: Bet Terrapins -6.5

Doug Upstone

Saturday, March 19, 2016 10:12 PM UTC

Saturday, Mar. 19, 2016 10:12 PM UTC

Our final stop in the South Region for the NCAA Tournament for the second round is in Spokane, WA, with upset-minded Hawai'i trying to ruin another talented but perplexing Power 5 conference club.

Doug's Record: 6-3-1 sides and 5-5 totals

The Rainbow Warriors were excellent mid-range shooters most of the game and late put California away with fastbreak run-outs for relatively easy 77-66 triumph as six-point underdogs.

Maryland was playing like the team many had thought they would be in building 18-point second half lead over South Dakota State, but they let up and the Jackrabbits gained confidence and the Terrapins had to hold on for five-point win.

The NCAA Tournament odds from the sportsbooks have Maryland as a 6.5-point favorite with total of 144 for this 7:10 Eastern conflict on TBS. Can Hawai'i pull another shocker and move to Sweet 16?


The Betting Numbers

SU and ATS Records - 26-8, 15-16-2 ATS

Away Record - 10-7 and 8-7-2 ATS

Favorite Record - 25-3 and 13-14-1 ATS

Off a SU Win - 18-7 SU and 9-13-2 ATS


SU and ATS Record - 28-5, 15-12 ATS

Away Record - 11-2 and 8-5 ATS

Underdog Record - 3-3 and 4-2 ATS

Off a SU Win - 22-5 SU and 12-10 ATS


The Game Scoop
There are definite similarities between Maryland and Cal with young NBA quality players who do not always plays to level of talent. There are also more seasoned veterans who do not always take a cue from the youngsters and do not involve themselves with poor body language and just go out and do their best to help their team win games.

Case in point was senior forward Jake Leyman on Friday, scoring a career-best 27 points on 7 for 11 shooting (5 for 8 from beyond the arc), adding three rebounds and being clutch at the charity stripe with perfect 8 for 8 production. With Diamond Stone a nonfactor again with foul trouble and Melo Trimble 0-4 from three-point land, Leyman is who stood up and his continued high effort will be required yet again in this NCAA Tournament game.

One big positive on Trimble is he upped his game when the deep ball was failing him and made five of six of two-point attempts and was rock solid at the free throw line at 9 for 9. He just has to be a little wiser and not foul out again.

Having seen Hawai'i one other time before yesterday, what struck me was their poise. The Warriors were steady in running their offense, played good position defense and did not lose their heads when Cal made second half run. Give their coach Eran Ganot the credit and it should not be forgotten that while Hawai'i schedule is not the same as Maryland's, they still have only lost five games.

Senior guards Quincy Smith and Roderick Bobbit know how to get to the rim and either finish or find open shooters. They play under control and do not try and do more than they are capable of on the floor. Junior forward Stefan Jankovic at 6-11 provides much needed size and gives Hawai'i a presence in the post. His ability to protect the rim and even step out to knock down a three opens up driving lanes for his teammates.

Sagarin Spread - Maryland -6.25


Spread Winner and Totals Lean
Maryland should win this game by 10 points, but they should have done that against South Dakota State and could not seal the deal. The Terrapins are like many fringe teams that have all the ability necessary, but lack the intestinal fortitude to finish what they started over the course of 40 minutes.

To say this is all on Maryland is an injustice to Hawai'i and other tournament teams like them. When you win your conference and conference tournament and advance to this point, you have a darn good team and the belief system that you can play with anyone, looking at tape and seeing the overall differences in talent is not that dramatic.

For NCAA Tournament picks, have to take note the Rainbow Warriors are 8-0 ATS versus teams forcing 12 or fewer turnovers a game and 6-0 ATS against foes outscoring their opponents by four or more points a contest this season. Hawai'i and the Under are my calls in the South.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Maryland -6.5
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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