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Florida Atlantic vs. San Diego State Prop Picks: Defensive Battle on Deck for March Madness Matchup

Shane Jackson

Last Updated: April 1, 2023 3:59 PM EDT • 2 min 60 sec read.

Matt Bradley of the San Diego State Aztecs brings the ball up court against the Utah State Aggies during the second half of the championship game in the Mountain West Conference basketball tournament.
Matt Bradley of the San Diego State Aztecs brings the ball up court against the Utah State Aggies during the second half of the championship game in the Mountain West Conference basketball tournament. Photo by David Becker/Getty Images/AFP.

In the first game of Saturday’s Final Four action, Florida Atlantic squares off with San Diego State for a spot in the national championship game. Here are our best Florida Atlantic-San Diego State prop picks based on the top NCAAB odds.

Both of these two teams are in the midst of historic seasons, but only one can add another massive win during Saturday's semifinal showdown in Houston. Both squads are competing in the Final Four for the first time in their respective program's history, and San Diego State is a short favorite over Florida Atlantic.

Oddsmakers have set a low total and are expecting a defensive battle, and for good reason based on how both schools played thus far. It can be difficult to locate value this late in the season, so we like the idea of attacking the player prop market.

Here are our best Florida Atlantic vs. San Diego State prop picks (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our Florida Atlantic-San Diego State pick and our Miami-UConn pick.

Florida Atlantic vs. San Diego State prop picks

  • Matt Bradley Under 12.5 points (-125) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Jaedon LeDee Over 5.5 rebounds (+100) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Vladislav Goldin Over 8.5 points (-110) ⭐⭐

Florida Atlantic vs. San Diego State prop predictions

Matt Bradley Under 12.5 points (-125 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

No player is more excited than San Diego State senior guard Matt Bradley to leave the KFC Yum! Center.

Bradley went 3-for-17 shooting from the floor over two games this past weekend while finishing with eight points. Despite being the team’s leading scorer at 12.5 points per game, Bradley was riding the bench late in the win over Creighton during the Elite Eight.

Bet against him producing better results this weekend. Bradley has only cleared this mark once throughout the tourney, a trend that should continue while playing in a football stadium on Saturday. FAU’s scheme will funnel a lot of mid-range shots for San Diego State, but there's little reason to have faith in Bradley hitting those attempts.

This line is down to 11.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook, so take advantage of the 12.5 DraftKings is offering.

Check out our March Madness odds.

Jaedon LeDee Over 5.5 rebounds (+100 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

Saturday will be a homecoming for senior Jaedon LeDee, who's a Houston native and spent two years at TCU before transferring to SDSU. The Aztecs wouldn’t be where they are today without the addition of LeDee, and he should provide a big impact this weekend too.

In a game with two teams that will miss a lot of shots, LeDee should be there to clean up the mess. He's averaging 5.3 rebounds per game, and LeDee grabbed six boards in both contests this past weekend. LeDee has cleared this mark in six of his last eight outings, and he's averaging 6.5 rebounds per contest during this tourney.

LeDee’s Over is priced at -107 through Caesars and valued at -106 on FanDuel. As a result, I like getting a plus-money price on the Houston native to grab six-plus boards against the Owls.

Vladislav Goldin Over 8.5 points (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐

The Aztecs ultimately escaped with a 57-56 win over Creighton in the Elite Eight. But they really struggled to defend big man Ryan Kalkbrenner, who finished with 17 points. That doesn’t bode well for a matchup against FAU’s 7-foot-1 center Vladislav Goldin.

He's coming off a 14-point performance during Florida Atlantic’s 79-76 victory over Kansas State in the Elite Eight. Goldin attempted 11 shots, which marked the highest number of attempts for him since Feb. 11. He does a great job of avoiding foul trouble, as he's recorded one foul in three straight games. That's why I expect him to be on the floor for much of this matchup.

San Diego State is elite defensively, but the Aztecs only rank 241st in average height. Goldin, who averages 10.3 points per game, could cause enough problems and threaten to reach double figures in a low-scoring defensive battle.

FanDuel is offering the Over at -120, so make sure to place this bet through DraftKings.

Florida Atlantic vs. San Diego State odds

Florida Atlantic-San Diego State player prop picks made 03/30/2023 at 6:45 p.m. ET.

Here are our best March Madness betting sites:

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Written By:
Shane Jackson
After graduating with a journalism degree from the University of Kansas in 2017, Shane Jackson covered college sports for a few years before moving to Las Vegas to pursue a career in sports betting. He created sports betting content for WynnBET and served as a sports gambling content director for Bet Chicago Sports. Shane’s favorite sports to watch and bet on are NFL, college football, college basketball, NBA, WNBA, and golf. Follow Shane on Twitter (@SJacksonBET) to get access to all of his betting analysis.