According to NCAA Tournament betting odds Louisville is a 16.0 point favorite and the posted total is 142.5. Manhattan was the winner of the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Tournament where they defeated Iona in the title game 71-68. Louisville won the American Athletic Association Tournament championship with a 71-61 win over Connecticut.
No Respect for the Defending Champs
If you were surprised by Louisville being dropped down to a #4 seed in arguably the toughest of the 4 regional brackets, well you weren’t alone. The Cardinals enter the tournament having won 12 of the last 13, and 16 of their last 18-games. In their last 4-games the Cardinals held opponents to an average of 51.3 points and a paltry 32.4% shooting from the field. The defensive play in those previous 4 contests wasn’t a total shocker since they were 15th nationally holding opponents to 61.0 points per game, and 17th with a field goal percentage defense of 39.4%. They’re not too shabby offensively as well averaging 82.1 points per game. The Cardinals cause their opponents extreme headaches with their full court defensive pressure. In their last 5-games which all resulted wins, the Cardinals forced an average of 20.0 turnovers per game.
The Jaspers not East to Intimidate
The Manhattan Jaspers enter the NCAA Tournament having won 11 of the last 12, and 22 of their last 27-games. Although they lack a signature win, they were able to defeat an average at best South Carolina team 86-68 on the road. The only NCAA Tournament participant they faced this season was George Washington, and they lost to the Colonials on the road 80-74 way back in November. Manhattan has been an explosive offensive team this season averaging 82.1 points per game. The Jaspers are hoping to fair much better than they did last season when they traveled to Freedom Hall in Louisville to take on the Cardinals, and were hammered 79-51. Louisville forced 27 Manhattan turnovers in that contest.
NCAA Betting System
Any NCAA Tournament team that’s seeded 13th through 16th with a total of 140.0 to 149.5, and they’ve won 12 or more of their last 15-games, has seen 36 of those 48-games (75%) go under the total in the last 17 years.Free Pick: Manhattan/Louisville to go under the total of 142.5