Make Detroit +6.5 vs. Cleveland State Your NCAA Basketball Pick

Jeff Grant

Friday, January 23, 2015 3:49 PM UTC

Friday, Jan. 23, 2015 3:49 PM UTC

Detroit has the ability to knock down shots from beyond the arc, which makes it a dangerous road underdog against Cleveland State Friday night.

Turning It On
After suffering through a six-game losing streak from Dec. 13-Jan. 2, Detroit has seemingly turned things around in going 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS in its last five contests, as it remains on the road after securing a 81-69 overtime victory over Northeastern as six-point underdogs Monday.

The Titans are a confident group heading into this important matchup at the Wolstein Center, as their only setback during their recent run came at home to Green Bay—a team picked to win the Horizon League regular season title for a second consecutive year. Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 7-29 SU and 18-18 ATS when receiving points so keep this in mind when looking over th NCAA basketball odds.


Welcome Home
Cleveland State will play in front of its fan base for just the fifth time since Dec. 21, which is important to consider when making your college basketball predictions, as it owns a 7-1 SU and 2-4 ATS home record. The Vikings send out a veteran starting lineup consisting of three juniors and a pair of seniors—led by the play of junior guard Trey Lewis.

The former Penn State transfer was a Preseason All-Horizon first team selection, as he ranks seventh in scoring and sixth in steals among league members. Since the start of the 2012-13 campaign, the school is 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS as home favorites of 6.5 to 9 points, with the UNDER going 4-1 in that situation.

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Keys to the Game
The Titans rank in the top 50 nationally in three-point field goal percentage, turnover margin and steals—three key areas to really focus on in this affair.

Detroit has connected on 39.1 percent of its shots from beyond the arc when playing on the road in 2014-15, which will lead to scoring opportunities in facing a defense that allows foes to hit on 36.6 percent of its attempts from that area.


Defending the Arc
The Vikings rank 272nd in the country in three-point field goal percentage defense, while they’ve failed to cover the number in a pair of home games against capable teams from the perimeter, with San Francisco and Oakland combining to knock down 16 of 35 three-point shots.


I’m going to recommend that readers back the Titans as one of their NCAA basketball picks, as the Vikings are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games versus a team with a losing road record.

NCAA Basketball Pick:  Detroit Titans +6.5 at Bookmaker

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