Only one college basketball game this evening and our expert college basketball handicapper is here to break down the game and give us his free pick.
Loyola Marymount vs Morgan State
Only one game in college basketball today, so if you are looking for some roundball action this is it. This evening the 3-8 Morgan State Bears of the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference travel to the 6-4 Loyola Marymount Lions of the West Coast Conference. The MEAC has gotten beat down in non-conference play so far this year, with only one team with a winning record in the 7-5 North Carolina Central Eagles. Morgan State’s 3-8 record is actually good enough for 2nd in that conference right now. It’s a different story for LMU, as the WCC looks to be competitive this year and their 6-4 record has them 7th in the standings.
A line for this game can be found on 5Dimes, with LMU favored by 14 points. The O/U total is listed there at 142 points.
Morgan State comes into this game after losing to Penn State in an unlined game, 96-55. There are no ATS records for Morgan State on the year, as all of their games have been unlined officially. They struggle on offense, where they rank 336th in field goal percentage at 38.4%, 351st in 3-point percentage at 28.3%, and 315th in points scored per game at 68.3. Morgan State was led by 6’ 5” guard, Tiwian Kendley, who was averaging 22.9 points and 6.1 rebounds per game, but Kendley hasn’t played since December 6th at Manhattan – the last win for the Bears.
The Bears have now turned to 6’ 7” junior forward, Phillip Carr, for their scoring threat, and he averages 17.3 points and 9.1 rebounds per game over 37.4 minutes. Only one other player on the roster averages more than seven points per game, and that is 6’ 7” forward Kyle Thomas at 11.5 points per game. Their guards are very undersized and shoot poorly from the floor.
Loyola Marymount comes into this game 5-2 ATS, including 3-1 ATS at home. They are led in scoring by 5’ 11” guard, Brandon Brown, who shoots 45.5% from 3-point range and puts up 16.4 points per game. LMU is 56th in the country with a 47.7% field goal percentage on the year. They only put up 76.3 points per game, but they do it efficiently. Their other guard is 6’ 6” Buay Tuach, who also shoots well and puts up 11.2 points per game. In the front court they have some size, with Serbian and 6’ 11” center, Stefan Jovanovic, averaging 11.3 points and 5.2 rebounds per game. If this game gets out of hand, look for freshman 7’ 1” center, Mattias Markusson, to get some time as well.
With size mismatches in at least 3 positions on the floor at any given time, and the poor shooting for Morgan State this year, I find it hard to come up with a reason to back them. Having their star scoring threat possibly out for this game is also troublesome. I see LMU as a step up in a class all around, so I am backing them at -14 points this Monday evening for my NCAA basketball pick.
Free NCAA Picks: LMU -14
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes