Louisville vs. Seton Hall: NCAA Basketball Picks

Joe Freda

Wednesday, January 9, 2013 1:55 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jan. 9, 2013 1:55 PM UTC

The No. 3 Louisville Cardinals have notched a 4-3 spread record in their last seven games. Will the Cardinals keep cashing here or can Seton Hall get the money at Prudential Center?

“No. 3 Louisville to cash at Seton Hall”

Rick Pitino’s squad heads north for Wednesday’s battle with the Seton Hall Pirates, who have dropped three straight meetings with Louisville. 

Cardinals, Dieng outgun Friars

Louisville cruised to an eighth straight win in last Wednesday’s 80-62 triumph over the Providence Friars, falling a ‘hook’ shy of collecting as 18 ½-point home ‘chalk.’ The Cardinals connected from the field at a 52.6 percent clip, outscoring Providence in the second half, 43-31.

Cardinals center Gorgui Dieng hit 5-of-6 from the Bfloor en route to 11 points, while adding the same number of boards for a double-double. Louisville’s Chane Behanan and Luke Hancock united for seven steals, while mate Peyton Siva finished with a team-high eight assists.

The contest’s combined 142 points jumped above the ‘total’ of 133, lifting the OVER to 3-0 in the Cardinals’ last trio of games. Dieng logged four of his side’s five blocks, while Louisville edged the Friars in boards, 32-30.

Pirates, Teague thrashed in South Bend

Seton Hall saw its seven-game winning streak end with Saturday’s 93-74 defeat as a 10-point road dog against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. The Pirates allowed Notre Dame to hit 56.5 percent of its field buckets, including 12-of-18 from outside the arc.

Pirates mates Fuquan Edwin and Aaron Cosby notched 21 points each, with Cosby adding a team-high seven assists. Seton Hall’s Gene Teague fell a board shy from a second straight double-double, logging 17 points and nine rebounds.

The lopsided affair’s combined 167 points soared OVER the ‘total’ of 132 ½, despite just one blocked shot recorded. Seton Hall shot 45.3 percent from the floor, while Cosby drilled 5-of-9 shots from three-point land.

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Back Louisville as road ‘chalk’

Bookmaker.eu opened Louisville as an 11-point road favorite, with the number staying unchanged after early wagers were mixed. The ‘total’ was first posted at 137, driving north a point to 138 after initial betting action favored the OVER.

I am laying the points here with Louisville, looking for the Cardinals to pick up another sizable win in Big East Conference play. The Cardinals are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games, while notching a 13-5 spread record in the team’s last 18 spots against squads with winning records.

Louisville has notched 83.5 PPG on opposing floors, while ranking second in the Big East for overall scoring (78.4 PPG). Cardinals guard Russ Smith notched 23 points against Providence, moving the junior to a season mark of 20 PPG.

Seton Hall is 1-3-1 ATS in its last five home dates, stretching back to last season. The Pirates were held to 51 points in last January’s matchup with Louisville at Prudential Center, connecting from the field at a sparse 27.6 percent.

For my NCAAB Free Picks, I'm taking Louisville to hand Seton Hall another losing ticket here and cover the double-digit premium.

Free Picks: Louisville

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