Lean Texas Tech vs. Kansas State in your NCAAB Picks

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, February 25, 2014 3:40 PM GMT

Tuesday, Feb. 25, 2014 3:40 PM GMT

Texas Tech host Kansas State in a Big 12 contest on Tuesday in Lubbock, Texas with the opening tip slated for 7:00 PM ET. The game will be televised nationally by ESPN2. Take a look at our top NCAA basketball pick for this match-up.

Kansas State vs. Texas Tech

According to NCAA basketball betting odds Texas Tech is a 1.0 point home favorite and the early posted total is 129.5. Kansas State enters tonight with a record of 18-9 overall, and 8-6 in conference play. Texas Tech comes in at 13-14 overall, and 5-9 versus conference opponents. These teams have seen their last 5 meetings go under the total. The home team has covered 14 of the last 19-games in this series. These teams met once this season with Kansas State prevailing in a 66-58 win at home, but failed to cover as an 8.5 point favorite.

Reeling Red Raiders

Texas Tech will attempt to break a 3-game losing streak this evening. The Red Raiders are coming off an 84-62 blowout loss at Oklahoma State on Saturday. That contest went over the total of 138.5, and it marked the first time in their last 8-games the Red Raiders failed to stay under the total. As a matter of fact they’ve gone over the number in just 6 of 21-games this season when a total was posted. Texas Tech is a respectable 10-5 at home this season, including going 8-4 ATS in lined games.

On the Bubble

The Kansas State Wildcats are one of those clubs that I consider to be on the proverbial NCAA Tournament bubble. With just 4-games remaining in the regular season, which include road tilts at Iowa State and Oklahoma State, a win tonight over an average at best Texas Tech team is imperative. The Wildcats are a very good 14-1 at home this season, but are just 1-6 in true road games, including losing their last 6 away from Manhattan, Kansas. They’ve also failed to cover their last 3 on the road while losing by an average of 11.0 points per game. The Wildcats must also overcome early season non-conference losses to Northern Colorado, Charlotte, and being blown out by 27 versus a very average Georgetown team. A strong finish to the regular season and in their conference tournament would go a long way in absolving those bad losses.

Final Analysis

In regards to handicapping this contest for all intents and purposes it’s an even game. Texas Tech isn’t exactly coming into this contest on a high note after dropping their last 3. Kansas State has dropped 6 in a row on the road, and their only true away win came versus a very poor TCU team. I’m going to have a slight lean to the home team for our NCAA basketball pick in this spot.

Free Pick: Texas Tech -1.0 over Kansas St.

[gameodds]14/259280/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

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