Lay The Big Number & Add Cincinnati To Your NCAA Basketball Picks Over Tulane

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, January 24, 2016 1:43 PM UTC

Sunday, Jan. 24, 2016 1:43 PM UTC

Our college basketball handicapping professional provides us with a betting preview on Sunday’s Tulane and Cincinnati game. Find out his NCAA basketball picks for the game.

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Cincinnati -17
Best Line Offered: at Heritage


Bearcats and Green Wave in Sunday Matinee
The Cincinnati Bearcats host the Tulane Green Wave on Sunday in an American Athletic Conference matchup. The opening tip at Fifth Third Arena is slated for Noon Eastern Time. Early (1/23) NCAA basketball odds board posted at BetOnline lists Cincinnati as a 17.0 point favorite. This will be the first meeting of the season between these conference rivals. They split their two games a year ago with the home team winning on each occasion. Both of those contests easily stayed under the total.


Anemic Offense and Terrible Resume
Tulane enters Sunday’s contest with an 8-14 overall record, and that includes 1-6 in AAC action. The Green Wave has defeated just one team (SF Austin) this season with a winning record. Their eight wins have come over opponents that have a cumulative record of 43-103 (.295) at the time of this writing. Tulane ranks near the bottom nationally in nearly every offensive category. During their last five games, they averaged a paltry 56.0 points scored per contest, shot 34.2% from the field, and converted on only 24.6% of its three point attempts. In addition, they’ve made just 64.3% of its free throws this season. That’s not good news considering they’ll be facing one of the better defensive teams in the country on Sunday.


Better than Advertised
Cincinnati currently has an overall record of 14-6, and has gone 4-3 in AAC play. Their six defeats this season have come against opponents that have a combined record of 73-18 (.802). It must be noted, the Bearcats six losses have come by a combined 25 points, and includes four defeats by exactly 2 point margins. It’s not a stretch to say that they’re a better team than even its .700 win percentage indicates. The Bearcats are 11th nationally in scoring defense (61.8 PPG) and 21st in field goal percentage defense (38.9%).


Final Analysis
For Cincinnati has been far from an explosive offensive team this season. However, they won’t need to be against a Tulane team that struggles to score. I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see Tulane score less than 50 points in this contest against a staunch defensive opponent. This is one of those rare occasions that I will lay the big number for one of my NCAA basketball picks.

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