Kansas State Eyeing Upset of Kansas at Home

kansas state

Mark Lathrop

Monday, January 29, 2018 12:48 PM UTC

Monday, Jan. 29, 2018 12:48 PM UTC

Our NCAA handicapper Mark Lathrop inspects this nationally televised Big 12 Conference game between Kansas and Kansas State. Read on as he finds the best value if you need action on this game.

2017-18 NCAAB Record: 26-20 (+4.70 Units)

Kansas Jayhawks at Kansas State WildcatsFree NCAAB Pick: Over 147Best Line Offered: BookMaker

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3336557, "sportsbooksIds":[93,169,1275,238,19], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

In a very important college basketball matchup, not only for Big 12 conference rankings but for ESPN ratings, the Kansas Jayhawks visit the Kansas State Wildcats for their second meeting of the season. The Jayhawks are currently ranked 5th in the AP and 9th in KenPom power rankings, while the Wildcats are unranked in the AP and sitting at 34th in the power rankings. Kansas sits at 6-2 in conference, just ahead of a cluster of teams at 5-3, including Kansas State. With the very close win by Kansas a few weeks ago, it is no surprise that the line has opened very tight in this game as well. Kansas can be found as a 2-point road favorite across the board, while the O/U total has opened at 147.

Kansas possesses one of the most efficient offenses in the country, ranking 15th in 3-point shooting percentage and 19th in 2-point shooting percentage. Taken together they have the 11th-ranked offense in the NCAA. Their defense is one-dimensional, however, as they defend behind the arc very well – best in the Big 12, but also are ranked 9th in the conference in defending field goal attempts at a 51.8% clip. Free throw shooting has hurt the Jayhawks from time to time, especially that of 7’ 0” sophomore Udoka Azubuike, who is shooting a paltry 38.1% from the charity stripe. He went 1-for-8 from the free throw line in Kansas' 85-80 loss to the Oklahoma Sooners last Tuesday.

Kansas State’s offense isn’t a slouch, either, ranking 20th in overall efficiency in the country and 2nd in the Big 12. They also hold the best shooting percentage in both 3-point and 2-point attempts in Big 12 Conference play. On defense they are weak inside, but strong guard play has them ranked second in 3-point defense and #1 in steals in the Big 12.

[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "

On to the next one. #BeatKU pic.twitter.com/cIHmrs1VOJ

— K-State Men's Basketball (@KStateMBB) January 28, 2018

Kansas State covered as a 12.5-point underdog in the first meeting, with the game going under a 149.5 listed total. Kansas led by as many as 9 points in the first half and 11 in the second before Kansas State stormed back to take a 67-64 lead with 4 minutes remaining in the game. Kansas State only scored 5 points from there on out, which paralleled some scoreless stretches in the first half as well. The Wildcats have not had a stretch of offensive ineptitude since in the 4 wins since that loss to Kansas; however, and I don’t expect it to happen again at home. With both Kansas State and Kansas possessing capable offenses, and defenses ranked 6th and 7th in the Big 12, respectively, I am looking for a higher-scoring game than a few weeks ago. I will be taking 'Over' 147 as my Monday NCAAB pick.

comment here