Kansas St. vs. Texas A&M: Can Aggies Be An Overrated NCAA Basketball Pick?

Joe Catalano

Saturday, December 12, 2015 5:29 PM GMT

Saturday, Dec. 12, 2015 5:29 PM GMT

NCAA basketball odds makers expect the Texas A&M Aggies, to make easy work of the Kansas State Wildcats. But will they be able to? Find out our NCAA basketball pick inside.

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Kansas State +9
Best Odds Offered By Heritage

 

One would think that the Texas A&M Aggies (7-2) would be flying high after a victory over a AP Top 25 squad in the Gonzaga Bulldogs on November 26th, but that's not the case as the Aggies have lost 2 out of their last 3 games. That said, they face a tough Kansas State Wildcats (7-1) team that has only one loss on their resume this season to North Carolina. Odds makers expect the Aggies, who are undefeated at home, to make easy work of the Wildcats. Are the Aggies an overrated ball club? See what we think with our NCAA Basketball pick.

Tip-off is scheduled for this afternoon at 5:30 p.m. EST at Reed Arena in College Station, Texas. This game can be seen on the ESPN Network. According to the NCAA Basketball odds board, the Aggies are a 9 point betting favorite and the total for the game is listed at 139. That appears to be a bit high, but home court advantage is always a major asset in NCAA Basketball covering the spread is another issue. Let's check out this matchup.

 

Jalen Jones
While Daniel House leads the Aggies in scoring at 16.1 points and 5.1 rebounds per game, senior Jalen Jones could be the key to this game. Jones has been a consistent contributor throughout his collegiate career at Texas A&M and has been playing well this season (in 5 games), but is coming off of a poor shooting effort against the Arizona State Sun Devils in Texas A&M's 67-54 defeat at the hands of Coach Bobby Hurley's squad. Jones shot just 2 of 10 from the field to go along with 6 points, 7 rebounds and some foul trouble.

This is a player that averaged 22.5 points per game on 18 of 31 shooting from the field in 2 games previous to the ASU encounter. His production is needed and I expect Jones to be a key figure in this game. He has the experience and great size at 6 foot 7, 220 pounds for a guard.

 

"Cant Hit The Side Of A House"
I'm sure all of you know the saying "can't hit the side of a barn" when a player shoots poorly. For Texas A&M, leading scorer, Daniel House, is nothing more than a volume shooter as he's been off the mark more than he's put the rock in the hole.

House leads the Aggies in scoring at 16.1 points and 5.1 rebounds per game, but his shooting has been simply terrible as of late. In his last 2 games, House is shooting 9 of 37 from the field. Against Arizona State in his last, the statistics are deceiving as he scored 17 points along with 8 rebounds, but jacked up 15 shots from 3-point range and converted on just 3. This type of shooting won't win a ball game and Daniel House needs to make smarter decisions or this team will have trouble against the Wildcats.

The combination of Tyler Davis (6.2 rebounds per game) and Tonny Trocha- Morelos (5.2) do a decent job at protecting the boards, but this isn't a great rebounding team and don't get many second chances. The Aggies offense must make wise decisions on the offensive end is the bottom when it comes to winning this ball game.

The one category which favors the Aggies is that the Wildcats haven't been really battled tested and or played on the road. Their one loss of the season was an 80-70 defeat at the hands of the experienced North Carolina Tarheels as Kansas State held the lead in this game, but the Tarheels came storming back with 50 2nd half points. Guard, Kamau Stokes poured in 24 points, but a lack of teamwork (11 assists) led to the Wildcats demise in the end.

Two key seasonl stats that stick out are the Wildcats shoot 31.1% from beyond the arc and average just 3 blocks per game. As I stated, if the Aggies can take intelligent shots, the Wildcats defense will be at a disadvantage.

 

Justin Edwards
Expect senior guard, Justin Edwards, to lead the way for the Wildcats. He had a poor game against North Carolina, but is averaging 14.8 points, 6.1 rebounds, 3.8 assists and 1.8 steals per game. More importantly, Edwards is a consistent player that's an efficient scorer, averaging 48.8% from the field and shooting over 80% from the foul line. If this game is close and I expect it to be, look for Kansas State to have the basketball in Edwards' hands.

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