Iowa State-Oklahoma: Sooners Staggering Down the Stretch

Swinging Johnson

Friday, March 2, 2018 2:51 PM UTC

Friday, Mar. 2, 2018 2:51 PM UTC

The Oklahoma Sooners are on the bubble of getting their ticket punched to the Big Dance, and Friday's showdown with their Big 12 rivals from Iowa State could determine their fate. Let’s break this one down.

Iowa State (13-16 SU, 10-16 ATS) at Oklahoma (17-12 SU, 9-19 ATS)Free NCAAB Pick: Iowa State +10Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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  • Oklahoma is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss.
  • 1-10 ATS in their last 11 Friday games.
  • 1-5 ATS in their last six home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400.
  • Oklahoma is 4-13 after a conference game this season.
  • Iowa State is 9-7 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points per game.
  • Iowa State is 5-5 ATS after allowing 80 points or more.

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1️⃣ last home game for OU's lone senior.

Feature 🎥 on @khadeemlattin's career in the Crimson & Cream: https://t.co/H4iI83Xk9w pic.twitter.com/L6qOf4Byxt

— Oklahoma Basketball (@OU_MBBall) March 1, 2018
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These teams met nearly three weeks ago when the Sooners traveled to Hilton Coliseum as a six-point road chalk and were upset 88-80. Cyclones freshman guard Lindell Wigginton took over and nailed a three-pointer near the end of the game to seal the deal. When the dust settled, Wigginton bucketed 26 points and outdueled much-ballyhooed rookie Trae Young of Oklahoma, who scored 22 for the Sooners. Fellow freshman Cyclone Cam Lard also contributed mightily with 19 points and a whopping 17 boards.

The Sooners must be shaking their collective heads after being a ranked team throughout much of the season to now wondering whether or not they will compete in the NCAA Tournament. After losing seven of their last eight, it is imperative that Oklahoma secure a victory, and a convincing one at that, in order to prove their postseason worth. The Sooners have not only been losing in the standings but flaming at the windows as they have also failed to cover the NCAA basketball odds in eight of their last nine.

But to be fair, Oklahoma has been impressive at home this season with a 14-2 straight up record. Yet, even their performances on their home court have not been enough to beat the oddsmakers. Those who have noticed an uptick at home for Oklahoma and backed them in their NCAA basketball picks understand that the Sooners have gone 6-7 against the number in the 13 lined games at home.

The Cyclones limp into this one as the cellar-dwellers in the Big 12 with a dismal 4-13 conference record and a 13-16 straight-up mark overall. Their last win was that Feb. clash with Oklahoma, but since then they have lost five straight and gone 2-3 ATS. And when they enter tonight’s game it will be without forward Solomon Young, who had 11 points in the win over Oklahoma, while junior guard Nick Weiler-Babb, who did not dress in the first meeting, will again sit as he battles tendinitis.

The bottom line is that Oklahoma should not be a double-digit favorite over anyone. Particularly when one considers that Iowa State has played good teams tough this season. The Cyclones blew out No. 8 (at the time) Texas Tech and No. 15 West Virginia earlier this season and battled Kansas tooth-and-nail only to lose by virtually identical scores of 83-78 and 83-77 but covering in both. Their opponents tonight are a sieve defensively, allowing 82.8 points per game. Let’s back the Cyclones with the big head start and don’t lay the points just because Oklahoma “needs this one” more than Iowa State. Play smart and back the road dog.

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