Indiana Shorthanded Against Maryland in Big Ten Matchup

Mark Lathrop

Monday, January 22, 2018 1:16 PM UTC

Monday, Jan. 22, 2018 1:16 PM UTC

Our NCAA handicapper Mark Lathrop spots a matchup with an injury to a key performer that could affect the outcome. Read on as he breaks down Indiana hosting Maryland in Monday night Big Ten action.

2017-18 NCAAB Record: 25-16 (+8.00 Units)

Maryland Terrapins at Indiana HoosiersFree NCAAB Pick: MarylandBest Line Offered: BetOnline

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After a hot start in non-conference play I’ve been treading water in January, down just over 2 units since the start of the year. We will look to get that turned around in Big Ten action Monday night, with the Maryland Terrapins visiting the Indiana Hoosiers in a game that can be seen nationally on Fox Sports 1. Both of these teams come in with winning records SU and ATS; Maryland sitting at 15-6 SU and 10-6 ATS and Indiana 11-8 SU and 9-8 ATS. There is a strong home/away split in this game, though, with Maryland 3-5 SU and 3-4 ATS on the road and Indiana 9-3 SU and 7-4 ATS at home. Even with that discrepancy the Terrapins have opened at -1.5 across the board, while the O/U total has opened at 141 at BookMaker.

Indiana fans will be concerned with the status of Juwan Morgan, who has an injured left ankle and did not complete the Hoosiers' last game against Michigan State. He’s listed as doubtful, and so Indiana likely will miss its leading scorer and rebounder for the game. The 6’ 7” junior puts up 14.8 points and 7.2 rebounds per game and plays in 67.6% of available minutes. Morgan is on the floor 2nd most on the team behind 6’ 3” senior point guard Robert Johnson. My opinion is that Morgan will not play after putting in 16 minutes against Northwestern and another 16 minutes against Michigan State in games 5 days apart. He has 4 days rest from the MSU game to this one with an injury that likely needs a few weeks to fully heal.

After Morgan there is not much size on the Indiana roster to fill his shoes. Six-foot-6 senior Freddie McSwain gets 23% of the minutes in that spot behind Morgan and averages 3.3 points and 4.0 rebounds per game. After McSwain is 6’ 10” sophomore De’Ron Davis, who is out for the season with an Achilles injury. The lineup is terribly thin should Morgan be out here.

Maryland has struggled in Big Ten conference play, yet have gone up against some of the top clubs in the league in Michigan State, Ohio State and Michigan so far. The Terps are coming off of a 77-66 win against Minnesota and have stayed very true to form with their power ranking performance on the year. Maryland has yet to lose to a team ranked under 70th in Pomeroy rankings and is ranked 38th themselves. For reference, the Hoosiers are ranked 97th – and that ranking includes Morgan in the lineup. For that reason I will be backing Maryland as the short 1.5-point favorite against Indiana in this Monday night matchup.

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