Hump Day (Under)Dogs, One Road and One at Home

Doug Upstone

Wednesday, January 17, 2018 4:19 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jan. 17, 2018 4:19 PM UTC

After 2-0 sweep last Wednesday, we had to work extra hard this week to find a pair of underdogs this Wednesday that have a better than average chance to cover. Some days you find a lot of teams, others not so much.

Last week's sweep takes our college basketball picks record to 11-5 (68.7 percent) on this weekly article. When looking over the college basketball odds Wednesday, we will delve into the Atlantic 10 and Pac-12 and are on the hunt in search of two more dogs who will show some teeth.

Massachusetts To Slide Under Large Number

Last week we played UMass (10-8, 9-6 ATS) and are coming back to it again. This time it will be as road underdog, not a home one, and the Minutemen will face the A-10's lone remaining unbeaten team in first-place Rhode Island (13-3, 7-5-2 ATS).

This is a really good Rams team that is 10-0 at home (5-2-1 ATS). They average 80.5 points per game in their building and connect on nearly 48 percent of their shot attempts (47.9). With these impressive numbers, what would compel me to think Massachusetts could beat the spread?

The Minutemen have been in a nice groove in winning and covering three in a row. UMass makes eight 3-pointers a contest, at a very reliable rate of 38 percent and that is two more per game than what Rhode Island averages. Sportsbooks across the board have UMass as a 15-point underdog and it is 14-6 ATS in past 20 visits to Kingston. Let's wrap this up knowing the Rams are 4-16 ATS at home after four or more consecutive wins.

Free NCAAB Pick: UMass +15Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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Stanford Is a Treacherous Home Underdog

No. 16 Arizona State remains a very good squad at 14-3 (10-4-3 ATS), but some of the shine has come off the apple in Pac-12 play. The Sun Devils are only 2-3 in Pac-12 action (0-3-2 ATS). Conference foes have slowed their high-powered offense, which was averaging over 90 points a game to 77.6 PPG in league play.

Stanford (10-8, 7-10-1 ATS) has done the complete opposite. The Cardinal were only 6-7 in non-conference action but have made a major move with a 4-0 SU and ATS spurt in the Pac-12 and are tied with Arizona for first place. What changed for Stanford? One would have to say its confidence. During this winning streak, the Cardinal are connecting on almost 50 percent of their shots, compared to just under 46 percent previously. With Arizona State permitting over 80 PPG in league play, Stanford's offense should continue to do well and it is the superior rebounding team, with the Devils not that big.

Unless ASU returns to previous form of draining 3-pointers from everywhere, Stanford at +4 appears to be solid wager.

Free NCAAB Pick: Stanford +4Best Line Offered: Bookmaker

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