Hottest Sports Picks & Tasty Trends Based on Odds Movements

Doug Upstone

Friday, March 20, 2015 3:25 PM GMT

I cannot imagine what today will bring to those making college basketball picks but safe to say (I think) it will be nothing like yesterday which was one of the most remarkable Thursday’s of the tournament.

Nonetheless, the numbers are moving and we have what is happening with line moves, along with free picks and today’s top trends. Like we say every day, understanding line moves can build your bankroll. (437-389 L155D)

 

St. John's vs. San Diego State  9:40 ET  CBS
St. John's coach Steve Lavin said that while center Chris Obekpa's suspension is "less than ideal," he still believes the Red Storm has what it takes to overcome the shot blocker's absence in the NCAA Tournament. "We have had a number of stretches where we have had to play without Chris and been successful," Lavin said Thursday at press conference. Clearly, Lavin is in the minority, among those makingNCAA tournament picks. his team is a growing underdog, up two points to +4. As is the case with any San Diego State, the question on beating the spread as favorite comes down to how many points they can score being such a poor shooting team. The Red Storm has shown ability to bounce back from a 15-point loss when they are on the road at 26-7 ATS and I’ll lean with them. 

NCAA Tournament Pick – Lean St. John’s

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2826313, "sportsbooksIds":[19,43,227,1096,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

 

Albany vs. Oklahoma  7:25 ET  TruTv
The total on this East Regional second round game has been climbing, up from 127 to 130.5. For those college basketball handicappers who follow trends, this follows a pair of two strong angles. Albany is a 13-point underdog and in lined games they are 15-6 OVER when catching points. Also, when Oklahoma is coming off back to back contests of failing to reach more than 65 points, they are 9-1 OVER. 

NCAA Tournament Pick – Play Over

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2826304, "sportsbooksIds":[19,43,227,1096,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

 

Indiana vs. Wichita State  2:45 ET  CBS 
The NCAA Tournament betting odds on this Midwest Regional contest on the total have moved from 138 to 140. Is this a reflection of Indiana’s ability to score or lack of defense? Chances are a combination of both and the Hoosiers are 14-6 OVER against winning teams this season. Here is anotherreason why the OVER appears inviting, which matches up with Indiana’s defense, Wichita State is 9-1 OVER away from home against defenses which create 12 or fewer turnovers a game. 

NCAA Tournament Pick – Play Over

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2826312, "sportsbooksIds":[19,43,227,1096,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

 

Oklahoma State vs. Oregon 6:50 ET  TBS
The total in this tilt has been drifting downward, now at 135.5 after beginning at 137.5. Chances are Oklahoma State will not want to play at Oregon’s pace and be more patient on offense. The Cowboys are one-point underdogs and when in that role on a neutral floor, they are 23-7 UNDER as underdogs of six points or less. Having been ambushed by Arizona 80-52 in the Pac-12 title game, the Ducks are 8-1 UNDER away from home after surrendering 80 or more points under coach Dana Altman. 

NCAA Tournament Pick – Play Under

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2826312, "sportsbooksIds":[19,43,227,1096,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

 

New York Knicks vs. Philadelphia 76ers 7:05 ET  MSG, CSN-P
With the happenings in college basketball today, it seems crazy the biggest line move for sides’ action in professional basketball involves these two sad sacks from the Atlantic Division. Yet Philadelphia is getting the call in moving from -4 to -6.5 versus the sportsbooks NBA Odds. Why would anyone care, because they're sports bettors that’s why! The Sixers are 3-3 SU and ATS in their last six which is great for them. But don’t sell New York short they are 2-3 SU and ATS in their past five, making a run. (LOL) I have no clue why anyone would choose this game and will differ to various power rankings. I could quickly find on Al Gore’s internet and they have the 76ers favored anywhere from 5 to 7 points, so we're going to add them to the NBA picks for tonight. 

NBA Pick– The absolute slightest of leans with Philadelphia

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":339168, "sportsbooksIds":[19,43,227,1096,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

 

Sportsbook Review Tasty Trends

NBA ATS Trend
Toronto is 25-5 ATS versus teams outrebounding opponents by 3 or more per game the last two seasons. 

NCAA Basketball Totals Trend
Davidson is 10-0 OVER in road games after playing four consecutive times as favorite the last two seasons. 

NCAA Basketball ATS Trend
Northern Iowa is 8-0 ATS versus offensive teams scoring 64 or fewer points after 15 or more games this season. 

NHL Totals Trend
New Jersey is 8-0 UNDER against teams scoring 2.4 or fewer goals a game this season.