Home Floor The Difference In Michigan/Michigan State Matchup

Tom Izzo

Sunday, January 29, 2017 4:09 PM GMT

Are you contemplating making a bet on Sunday’s Michigan and Michigan State game? Let SBR sports handicapping professional Ross Benjamin eliminate the guess work. Join us in reading this betting preview which culminates with one of Ross’ free picks.

Sunday 1/28 College Basketball Odds: Michigan vs. Michigan State

Michigan (14-7/4-4) and Michigan State (12-9/4-4) will meet for the first time this season on Sunday in East Lansing. The opening tip is slated for 1:00 PM ET, and the game will be televised by CBS.

A consensus of early college basketball betting odds shows Michigan State as a 2.0-point favorite, and at the time of this writing (1/28) there was no posted total. This will be the first meeting of the season between these bitter in state Big Ten Conference rivals. Michigan State has won the last 4 games in this head to head series, and each of the previous 3 have gone over the total.

 

Good News/Bad News for Michigan

Michigan has been terrific on the offensive end of the floor throughout their previous 5 games. During that exact time frame, Michigan averaged 76.0 points scored per contest, shot an impressive 51.6% from the field, and converted on a red-hot 45.9% of 3-point attempts. Here’s the bad news, over that same period, the Wolverines allowed their opponents to shoot 53.4% from the field, and make 45.2% of its long distance tries.

 

The Tom Izzo Factor

Michigan State is 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 games. It would be difficult to imagine a Tom Izzo coached team losing 4 straight games, let alone that transpiring on their home floor. Izzo’s teams have historically improved as seasons have progressed. I wouldn’t bet against Michigan State not being well prepared on Sunday, and putting an end to their present 3-game slide is more likely than not.

 

Final Analysis and Pick

Although Michigan is coming off 2 strong performances, both those games took place at home. The Wolverines are a dismal 0-5 in true road games this season, and have failed to cover on 4 of those occasions.

Michigan State looked to be rejuvenated from a poor start by winning its first 3 conference games. However, things have taken a turn for the worse since that time, and the Spartans have lost 4 of their last 5. Nevertheless, they’re a respectable 3-1 in conference home games. Their only defeat in that sequence came at the hands of nationally ranked Purdue.

When handicapping this contest, it all comes down to one simple thing. I can’t pull the trigger on a team playing an away game this far into a season, and they’ve yet to win in that precise role. That’s even more so when considering a point spread within this parameter. My lean will clearly be with the home side, and one of my college basketball predictions will be reflective of that sentiment.

Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Michigan State -2.0Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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