Home Dog & 'Under' Our NCAA Basketball Picks For Indiana vs. Wisconsin

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, January 26, 2016 1:57 PM GMT

Let’s call the nurse in, put the patient on the operating table and open him up to see if this streaking Indiana team is for real and keeps up vs. Wisconsin. Get our NCAA basketball picks!

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Final Score Prediction: Wisconsin 65 Indiana 63
Free NCAA Basketball Picks: Wisconsin +3; Under 139½
Best Lines Offered: at Bookmaker

 

Yogi Ferrell and 19th-ranked Indiana heads to Madison and the Kohl Center on Tuesday night to face Wisconsin is a prime-time Big Ten battle in which the Hoosiers will be seeking their 13th straight win. But with Indiana winless in Madison in their L13, is blindly backing the Badgers the recipe for a little winner here? 

 

Odds Overview
Indiana at Wisconsin: Yogi Ferrell and #19-ranked Indiana (17-3, 7-0 Big Ten) head to Madison and the Kohl Center on Tuesday night to face Wisconsin (8-8, 3-4 Big Ten) as the Hoosiers and Head Coach Tom Crean look to extend the school’s Win Streak to 13 games in a Big Ten conference showdown from America’s Dairyland. NCAA basketball odds boards Offshore and here in Las Vegas have opened visitors Indiana as slim 1- (Heritage) to 1½- (Bookmaker, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) to (even one) 3-point chalks (TopBet) with the Total (Points) for this game set at 139½ (Bookmaker).

 

Indiana Hoosiers
Nineteenth-ranked Indiana (11-9 ATS, 10-10 O/U) and 8th-year Head Coach Tom Crean sit atop the Big Ten standings and have W12 straight games and have rolled to 30+ point wins in the L2 games, romps over Illinois and Northwestern and are off to their best conference start in 24 years (7-0), but the jury is still out on both this team and this Midwestern conference. Why? When a team like Iowa is ranked #4 in the nation and the Hawkeyes played the way they did in the 1st Half in Piscataway against Rutgers as 22½-point favorites, than the whole Poll/Ranking system can be deemed almost worthless and definitely less of a barometer of an NCAA Division I school’s talent for basketball teams when compared to the football polls, although this does look like a wide open NCAAB season where anyone can become champions. In an 89-57 Home romp over Northwestern, Indiana (50/1 to win NCAA Championship, Bet365) was led by G Ferrell (17 points) and in the victory over the Fighting Illini, the Hoosiers hit a school-record 19 3-pointers in a 103-69 romp. So, 34- and 32-point wins, and, if they are going in descending order, Indiana should blast Wisconsin by 30 points here. Right. One bad thing for the Hoosiers is that they’re without the services of James Blackmon Jr. (15.8 ppg) who hurt himself in a non-contact drill in practice in late December and is out for the season with a Knee injury. In Indiana’s win over the Wildcats the Starting 5 Crean put out was G Ferrell (17 points, 6 assists), F Collin Hartman (11 points, 5 rebounds), F Troy Williams (9 points, 7 rebounds), G Robert Johnson (9 points, 8 rebounds) and C Thomas Bryant (7 points) with F Max Bielfeldt leading the scoring off of the Indiana Bench with 13 points while G Nick Zeisloft added 7 points as the Hoosiers got an impressive 36 points from the pine in the victory at historic Assembly Hall in Bloomington, birthplace of NCAA Basketball’s last unbeaten (32-0) team (1975-1976), coached by legend Bobby Knight and starring Quinn Buckner, Scott May and Kent Benson. One huge thing for handicappers to think about here is that this is only Indiana’s 5th lined Road game and it’s late January. So, Road warriors (IND 1-3 ATS on Road)? Maybe not just yet.

 

Wisconsin Badgers
Wisconsin (8-11-1 ATS, 11-9 O/U) and Interim Head Coach Greg Gard snapped a 3-game Losing Streak in their last outing, beating Penn State, 66-60 in State College on Thursday night as Freshman Ethan Happ (20 points, 11 rebounds) made the game-winning layup with 10 seconds to go against the Nittany Lions. And in the Badgers Big Ten game before that one, Wisconsin (250/1 to win National Championship, Bet365) defeated (then) #4-ranked Michigan State, 77-76 here in Madison (where it rains Old Style and snows Cheese Curds) as Bronson Koenig scored a career-high 27 points for Wisconsin’s against the Spartans. The Badgers are on a 2-game Win Streak and really need the victory here not only for the W, but for their heads as Wisconsin already has an uncharacteristic 5 Home losses here at the Kohl Center. And with Indiana having not won here the last 13 straight trips and knowing that all the little breaks will likely go the Badgers way and that the crowd will be as raucous as they were for Michigan State, backing the hosts and taking whatever point or points are available is the Rx. In that last game against Penn State, Wisconsin’s Starting 5 was: F Happ (20 points, 11 rebounds), F Nigel Hayes (15 points, 5 assists), F Vitto Brown (6 points), G Bronson Koenig (8 points) and G Zak Showalter (4 points) with the leading scorer off the Badgers Bench being F Alex Illikainen (9 points, 7 rebounds)—a Wisconsin Bench which provided only 13 points from two scorers and only took 10 FG attempts in a combined 57 minutes of Playing Time. Even though they won, that (Bench production and willingness to shoot the basketball more) will have to improve for the host Badgers to get even with Indiana Tuesday in the primetime spotlight.

 

Recent Series Trends & Best Betting Approaches
Sometimes comparative handicapping may end up serving as the decisive thing in a choosing a Side (or a Total) handicap and that’s sort of the feeling here with this game. We’ll look at the Art and the Science, but it may be a couple of other schoolgirl-simple things that make the Badgers the (side) NCAA basketball pick in this game: 1—Indiana hasn’t won here in Madison since 1998, when Ricky Martin was actually a thing and the New York Stock Exchange’s DJIA was as low as 7,529 points. And, 2—If Michigan State can’t beat Wisconsin in Madtown, how the hell are the Hoosiers supposed to, brother? Sure, we could pull the Revenge card and say that the Badgers will win this because they barely lost earlier in the month on Jan. 5 in the first meeting, 59-58, in Bloomington—where John Cougar Mellencamp crooned about those little Pink Houses—as the Hoosiers held Wisconsin to 41.3% shooting and a season-low 58 points as Ferrell tallied 19 and banged the tiebreaking jumper with 38 seconds to go before sealing the win for Indiana, sinking four FTs down the stretch. But expect things to be different in Madison on Tuesday.

In Trend Town, Wisconsin is 6-4 ATS in the L10 meetings in this series while the Total is split at 5-5 (O/U). The Home team has W4 SU while the two teams have alternated ATS wins the L6 (WIWIWI). The Underdog is 7-1 ATS the L8 meetings here while Indiana is just 4-12 ATS the L16 meetings, including that ATS loss in Bloomington earlier this month (IND -7½, 144). And, the Over is 7-2 the L9 Hoosiers games played on Tuesdays, the Over is 10-4 ATS the L14 Indiana games overall and the Over is 12-4 ATS the L16 Wisconsin Home games, but that last meeting went Under by 27 points and with the pressure on the Badgers, the Artsy (feel not numbers) lean is to the Under here in a similar tight game with a potentially similar final score.