Home Court Advantage Makes Oregon Our NCAA Basketball Pick vs. Long Beach St.

David Lawrence

Friday, December 18, 2015 1:46 PM GMT

Friday, Dec. 18, 2015 1:46 PM GMT

The Long Beach State 49ers and the Oregon Ducks play a game before Christmas and we are ready to break down the NCAA basketball odds to decide for our best selections for this matchup.

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Oregon Ducks
Best Line Offered: at The Greek

 

Momentum
The 49ers have played a tough schedule, so although they have six losses and do not have a winning record, that is in many ways the product of taking on a lot of challenges instead of playing it safe. The 49ers have lost to Virginia, Oklahoma State twice, San Diego State, UCLA, and Pepperdine. Some of those teams are merely decent, but some of them are really good, and none of them are bad. Long Beach State has been fearless in taking on quality competition, and in many cases, the 49ers played well… just not well enough to win. They lost to Oklahoma State by five and six points. They lost to San Diego State by only four. They lost to UCLA by only seven and to Pepperdine by only two points. This team is on the cusp of being 10-2 or 9-3 if a few plays had gone the other way. That’s something which can’t be used too often when explaining how good a team is; you have to win some close games instead of coming close all the time. Nevertheless, Long Beach State doesn’t ordinarily get blown out. That’s worth pointing out to bettors on the eve of this game on Friday night.

Oregon is a team which has been perfect at home but spotty on the road. The Ducks have not lost a home game this season, but they’ve lost their two road games, recent contests against UNLV and Boise State. Losing to Boise State, a likely NCAA tournament team, by one basket is not that big a deal. However, losing by 11 to UNLV should raise a few alarm bells. Oregon’s continued lack of Dylan Ennis in the backcourt is a deficit this team needs to figure out how to address in the coming weeks.

 

Home-Away Trends
Long Beach State is playing its fifth true road game of the season, having played four previous games and going 1-3 in those games. Long Beach State played three neutral-court games, as part of its 6-6 overall record at this point in the season. Oregon is playing its eighth home game of the season. It is 7-0 in the previous seven, having beaten Baylor in the middle of November as its most impressive victory so far this season. Oregon should feel very confident about its chances here, but it needs to make sure that in the middle of December, with final exams over and Christmas just a few days ahead, it does not let down its guard. Teams often lose focus at this point in the season, so the Ducks need to be different.

 

Injuries
Long Beach State guard Evan Payne is ineligible.

Oregon guard Dylan Ennis is out with a foot injury.

 

What’s The Pick?
Oregon is a 12.5-point favorite on the NCAA Basketball odds. Oregon, though, has suck a lock on home-court success that it should be able to play the way it wants to. Take the Ducks with your NCAA Basketball picks.

Looking for More Free NCAA Basketball Picks? Check Out:
NCAA Basketball Picks of the Day

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