Home ATS Trends to Create Favorable NCAA Basketball Pick

Jeff Grant

Thursday, January 15, 2015 4:29 PM UTC

Thursday, Jan. 15, 2015 4:29 PM UTC

Colorado has been a virtual no show on the road during the 2014-15 campaign, which makes Arizona a top college basketball pick as a double-digit home favorite Thursday.

Road Woes
Colorado hasn’t beaten a top-10 team on the road since 1973, which is important to consider when looking over the NCAA basketball odds, as it looks to snap a 0-4 SUATS run in true road games this season.

The Buffaloes are going to find it difficult to snap their losing streak in this situation, as they haven’t earned a road victory versus the Wildcats in 55 years.

It’s important to point out that the school is 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in the last four overall meetings in this series, including a 63-43 setback as 11.5-point underdogs in last year’s Pac-12 Tournament.

Where else are we looking to bet tonight?

Chinks In the Armor
Arizona opened the season with a perfect 12-0 SU record, which can’t be ignored when making your NCAA Basketball pick, but it has split its last four contests.

The Wildcats will be playing just their second home game in the last month—earning a convincing 73-49 victory over the Arizona State Sun Devils as 14-point favorites on Jan. 4.

Sports bettors will find that the program is riding a 30-game win streak at the McKale Center, while it has also captured its last 13 conference games in front of its fan base.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the team is 16-3 SU and 8-11 ATS in January.


Key Injuries
The Buffaloes may have to play without the services of two of their top three scorers, as both guard Xavier Johnson (ankle) and center Josh Scott (back) are listed as questionable—averaging 12.8 and 13.8 points respectively.

Colorado may have to lean heavily on senior guard Askia Booker, but he averaged just 11.0 points on 29.3 percent shooting in three meetings against Arizona last year.


A Major Player
Forward Stanley Johnson leads the tenth-ranked Wildcats in averaging 13.9 points and 6.6 rebounds per game, while he sits behind just two first-year players nationally in getting to the free throw line 98 times.

Johnson opens up the floor for the rest of his teammates—playing a big part in Arizona ranking 14th in the country in shooting 49.3 percent overall from the field.

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Wildcats as one of their NCAAB picks, as they’ve gone 21-7 ATS in their last 28 home games versus a team with a losing road record.

Pick:  Arizona Wildcats 

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