Handicappers Predict Notre Dame +11 vs. North Carolina

Jeff Grant

Monday, March 3, 2014 12:42 PM GMT

Monday, Mar. 3, 2014 12:42 PM GMT

The North Carolina Tar Heels have a lot to look forward to in the next couple weeks, which could lead them to looking past the Notre Dame Fighting Irish Monday night. The odds are out; lets find out who we should be backing in this affair!

Let’s take a closer look at the NCAA basketball odds for this Atlantic Coast Conference matchup at the Smith Center, with the opening tip scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN.

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Disappointing final home game

Notre Dame is 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS over its last four games, as it prepares to hit the road for the final time during the 2013-14 season.

The Fighting Irish will attempt to bounce back from a hard-fought 85-81 overtime loss to the Pittsburgh Panthers as 3.5-point home underdogs Saturday, while going OVER the betting total of 129.5.


Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 5-7 SU and 4-8 ATS in March, with the OVER going 9-3 in that situation.

Cruising

North Carolina has won 11 games in a row, as it returns home after picking up a 60-56 victory over the Virginia Tech Hokies as 10.5-point road favorites last Saturday, while going UNDER the betting total of 136.5.

The Tar Heels have averaged 77.9 points over their last 13 conference games, with point guard Marcus Paige being the only player in the league listed in the ACC’s top five in both scoring and assists.

College basketball handicappers will find that the team is 3-2 SUATS when playing with one or less days rest this season.

Keeping things close

The Fighting Irish are worth a look as road underdogs on the SBR Odds page, considering their 11 league defeats have come by an average of 8.5 points per game.

Notre Dame is also looking to avenge a 73-62 loss to North Carolina as 1.5-point home underdogs in the first meeting on Feb. 8.

Looking ahead

There’s no doubt in my mind that the Tar Heels will have trouble focusing on this affair, as they get ready to close out the regular season on the road against top rival Duke.

North Carolina is also already assured a top-four seed in next week’s ACC Tournament—clinching a bye into the quarterfinal round.

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Fighting Irish as one of their NCAA basketball picks, but only if starting guard Pat Connaughton is able to play.

Connaughton (ankle) is listed as probable on the latest injury reports, which likely signals that he hits the court, especially since he’s never missed a game in his career.

College Basketball Pick:  Notre Dame Fighting Irish +11

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