Grab the Points with Road Dogs Davidson and K-State

Charles Stark

Tuesday, February 27, 2018 12:39 PM UTC

Tuesday, Feb. 27, 2018 12:39 PM UTC

Davidson travels to take on St. Bonaventure, and Kansas State visits Texas Christian. Both road teams won at home versus these same matchups, now can they just stay within the number?

Davidson vs St. Bonaventure

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Davidson +2.5Best Line Offered: at 5 Dimes

The last time we took St. Bonaventure we grabbed them at home in an upset of Rhode Island, but for my NCAA basketball pick today I will take Davidson in this spot plus the small number. Earlier in the year Davidson beat the Bonnies at home 83-73. Although this will be a much more difficult contest I like how Davidson matches up in this spot and believe they actually can come out of this game with the win. On the season Davidson has stronger offensive numbers across the board, but more importantly their numbers match up well or a bit better in the home and away disparities. Davidson is shooting 46.4% overall and 37.7% from distance on the road, while St. Bonaventure shooting 46.2% and 39.5% in those categories respectively at home. Both teams have been playing extremely good basketball recently with St. Bonaventure on a nice winning streak and Davidson winning seven out of their last eight games. This is just a really good matchup of two good teams that I think goes to the final shot, grab the points.

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Kansas State vs TCU

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Kansas State +7Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

Oddsmakers have come out making Kansas State a big +7 underdog in this spot, and for my NCAA pick I will back the Wildcats to come in and give TCU all they want. Back in late January Kansas State took care of business at home beating TCU 73-68. In this matchup, at Texas Christian, oddsmakers believe TCU has a good chance to run away in this contest but I don’t think so. Although TCU is very efficient shooting 51.2% at home, Kansas State has been a really good road team shooting at a 48.4% clip when they travel. As well, Kansas state comes in with better defensive numbers across the board allowing opponents shoot 42.5% overall, and 32.8% from distance. On the other end TCU has not been very good in getting stops allowing opponents to shoot 45.8% overall, and 38.1% from distance ranking them in the bottom of the Big 12. Even though this is a revenge game for TCU I think there is good value in grabbing Kansas State with this many points.

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