Gonzaga +6 vs. Arizona for NCAA Tournament Picks

Jeff Grant

Saturday, March 22, 2014 2:08 PM GMT

Saturday, Mar. 22, 2014 2:08 PM GMT

The top-seeded Arizona Wildcats are favored to advance past the Gonzaga Bulldogs and advance to the Sweet 16, but they’ll find it difficult to cover this type of number due to their troubles on the charity stripe. Which side of the NCAA Tournament betting odds are you on?

Let’s take a closer look at the NCAA Tournament odds for this Third Round matchup in the West Region at Viejas Arena, with the opening tip scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET on TBS.

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It wasn’t easy
Arizona picked up a less-than-impressive 68-59 victory over Weber State as 19.5-point favorites in the Second Round Friday, while going OVER the betting total of 126.5.

The Wildcats blocked 11 shots last time out—a statistic that’s played a big part in the program ranking second nationally in two-point field goal percentage defense.

It’s important to point out that the team is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games in the Big Dance.

 

Peaking at the right time
Gonzaga is arguably playing its best basketball of the 2013-14 campaign, as it pushed its current win streak to six games with a 85-77 victory over Oklahoma State as four-point underdogs Friday, while going OVER the betting total of 138.5.

The Bulldogs are 7-12 ATS in the NCAA Tournament since 2005—playing a major part in West Coast Conference schools being 12-20-1 ATS in this event over that span overall.

College basketball handicappers will find that the squad is 5-0 ATS in its last five games versus teams with a winning record.

 

From a power conference
The Wildcats definitely need to be respected on the SBR Odds page due to being ranked No. 1 in the country for a good portion of the season, while their conference is performing at a high level in this event.

The Pac-12 has four schools playing in the Round of 32, which is important to consider in handicapping this matchup due to Arizona being a league-best 111-32 SU since the start of the 2010-11 campaign.

 

Pangos delievers
The Bulldogs were pleased to see junior guard Kevin Pangos scoring a game-high 26 points last time out, as he’s been dealing with lower body injuries throughout the season.

Pangos is fifth on the school’s all-time list in 3-point field goal makes, while also being named a All-WCC first-team selection for a third consecutive year.

 

Prediction
I’ve developed a handicapper line favoring the Wildcats by 5.5 points, which provides a bit of value on the Bulldogs in this affair.

Arizona’s a worthy favorite to win the region and advance to the Final Four, but sports bettors should be cautious in backing the team for their NCAA Tournament picks due to its 351st national ranking at the charity stripe.

NCAA Tournament Pick: Gonzaga Bulldogs +6
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