Free NCAA Basketball Picks: Two High Quality Revenge Situations

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, February 25, 2016 4:41 PM UTC

Thursday, Feb. 25, 2016 4:41 PM UTC

Our analyst shares his top two underdog plays on Thursday’s card. He’s coming off a perfect 3-0 with his underdog picks on Wednesday, and now he has a couple of bets for today.

Hofstra vs. UNC-Wilmington 7:00 PM ET
This is the second meeting of the season between the top two teams in the Colonial Athletic Association. Just 1.0 game separates the two, and including tonight, each has two regular season contests remaining.  Hofstra will be out to avenge a 70-67 home loss suffered against Wilmington three weeks ago. Despite shooting a miserable 35.2% from the floor in that contest, Hofstra had a chance to win right up until the final horn. One thing to keep an eye on this evening is Hofstra’s offensive penetration. That facet of their game gave Wilmington fits during the first matchup, and resulted in 35 Hofstra free throw attempts.

Hofstra enters tonight riding a four game win streak, and has really clicked offensively during that stretch, averaging 78.0 points per contest, and shooting a stellar 47.9%. The Pride has also played the tougher non-conference schedule compared to Thursday’s opponent. They possess quality wins over Florida State and St. Bonaventure. Both of those teams are currently on the proverbial NCAA Tournament bubble as possible at-large invitees.

Wilmington has gone 11-1 at home this season, but is only 3-6 ATS in the contests which had a line. The Seawolves have struggled offensively in their previous three games, shooting an uninspiring 38.9%.

This game has huge implications in terms of who will be the #1 seed in the CAA postseason tournament. I feel strongly about Hofstra turning in a strong performance tonight, and they’ll be one of my Thursday NCAA basketball picks.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Hofstra +4
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle


Marshall vs. UAB 8:00 PM ET
Let me get this right out of the way. I don’t have anything negative to say about an experienced UAB team which has a 22-5 overall record, and is a perfect 14-0 at home this season. It’s more that I like how this situation sets up for the road underdog with all things being considered.

Marshall enters tonight just 1.0 game behind UAB for the Conference USA lead. The Thundering Herd began the season 0-6, and since then has gone 15-6 in its last twenty-one games. As a matter of fact, they’ve gone 4-0 SU&ATS during their previous four games, and won by an average of 13.3 points per contest. They will be out for revenge as well, stemming from a 81-78 home loss to UAB, and that contest ended in somewhat of a controversial manner to boot. Marshall is a dynamic offensive team, and that’s been especially apparent of late. They’ve averaged 96.4 points per game, shot 50.8%, and converted on a superb 41.3% of its three point attempts over their last five outings.

Current (10:50 AM ET) NCAA basketball odds at Heritage indicates that UAB is a 6.0 point favorite.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Marshall +5.5
?Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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