Free NCAA Basketball Picks: Grab Wisconsin +6.5 ATS vs. Purdue In Big Ten Clash

Nikki Adams

Sunday, March 6, 2016 5:55 PM UTC

Sunday, Mar. 6, 2016 5:55 PM UTC

Wisconsin take on Purdue in a highly anticipated Big Ten showdown on the betting card. Find out what the odds are trading at and where we’re lining up our NCAA basketball picks.

Wisconsin (20-10, 12-5 Big Ten)
Wisconsin close the season against Purdue tonight, looking to finish on a high note. They are riding a four-game winning streak into tonight’s highly anticipated Big Ten clash with Purdue, a run of form that includes wins over Illinois, Iowa, Michigan and Minnesota, all while outscoring their opponents 266-225 for a 41-point differential or a 10.25-point margin of victory on average. During this run of form, they also covered there of their last four games – the only misstep was the 69-60 win over Illinois in which they failed to cover the closing 11.5-point spread.

Digging deeper their recent form is most impressive with eleven wins in their last 12 games, five of which were on the away – the only loss coming to Michigan St. 69-57 on the road. Over that run they covered ten of those 12 games.

By those stats, the Badgers provide good reading. Overall, they are 16-14-0 ATS with a 5.4-point winning margin and a plus 0.2-point differential versus the spread. On the road, they are top of the Big Ten with a 7-3-0 ATS record that includes a 2.1-point winning margin and a plus 5.1-point differential versus the spread. In conference play, they are a whopping 12-5-0 ATS (second in Big Ten) with a 5.2-point winning margin and a plus 4.4-point differential versus the spread.


Purdue (23-7, 11-6 Big Ten)
Purdue Boilermakers are riding a two-game winning streak into tonight’s clash with the Wisconsin Badgers, a run of form that includes wins over Maryland (home) and Nebraska (away). They’ll be looking to extend that run of form to three in a row and finish the season on a positive note, and the markets are giving it to them.

As it is, the Purdue Boilermakers are favoured at home by a whopping 6-points at most sports betting outlets, and they are trading anywhere from -260 to -275 to win outright in moneyline markets. That’s quite the favourable outlook all things being considered.

Recent form has been somewhat patchy with a 6-4 SU record in their last ten games, including a 2-2 SU mark in their last four games overall. That said, they have won their last seven straight home games, which is nothing to sniff at and it’s partly why they are so favoured against the hot Wisconsin Badgers tonight. Indeed, the Boilermakers have lost just one home game so far this season – they are 16-1-0 SU at home with an 18.5-point winning margin and a plus 0.7-point differential versus the spread.

Overall, the Boilermakers are 14-11-1 ATS on the season with a 3.5-point winning margin and a plus 1.0-point differential versus the spread. At home, they are 7-5-1 ATS with an 18.5-point winning margin and a 0.7-point differential versus the spread. In conference play, they are 7-9-1 ATS with a 5.9-point winning margin and a negative 1.1-point differential versus the spread.


NCAAB Betting Verdict: By all accounts this is shaping up to be a right intriguing showdown as the Purdue Boilermakers look to close the season at home with their seventeenth win on the season. Given their solid home form they do deserve to be the home faves, but it’s debatable whether the NCAAB odds really should be as high as they are. Wisconsin Badgers are no slouches and they’re coming to Purdue riding some serious momentum. It wouldn’t be so shocking if they do upset the hosts on the NCAA basketball odds boards. For our money, we’re hedging our bets on this game with an NCAAB pick on Purdue to win at home at -255 at 5Dimes followed by an NCAA basketball pick on the visitors to cover as the +6 road underdogs with the best price currently trading at Heritage. 

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NCAA Basketball Picks: Wisconsin +6.5
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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