Free NCAA Basketball Picks: Best Of Saturday's Late Games

Nikki Adams

Saturday, January 16, 2016 7:03 PM GMT

Saturday, Jan. 16, 2016 7:03 PM GMT

Saturday’s round of college basketball features a whole slew of intriguing matchups. Join us as we spot a few of the must-see games and serve up NCAA Basketball Picks for your betting thrills.

Oklahoma State vs. Texas
The Big 12 clash between Oklahoma State and Texas features on Saturday’s late NCAAM basketball betting menu. The Cowboys are languishing conference basement, ninth in the standings with a 9-7 SU mark and a 1-3 mark in Big 12 play. Recent form is discouraging behind a three-game losing streak – losses to Baylor, W. Virginia and Oklahoma. During the three-game skid, the Cowboys went 1-2 ATS, coving only recently as the +8 underdogs in a 74-72 loss to their lofty rivals Oklahoma, ranked No.2. That they held the Sooners so close could be a source of encouragement ahead of their fourth straight Big 12 date with Texas, but, then again, they were crushed by W. Virginia 77-60 and failed to cover as the +14.5 underdogs and by Baylor too in a 79-62 loss as the +9 underdogs. On the season, the Cowboys are 8-6 ATS with a 5.2 winning margin and a plus 0.9-point differential versus the spread. When it matters the most, in Conference games, they are just 2-2 ATS with a 3.8-point losing margin and a plus 2.8-point differential against the spread.

Predictably, Texas (10-6, 2-2) come into this game as the home chalk, trading anywhere from -7.5 to -8 on the basketball odds board. It’s worth noting, however, that Texas are just 5-10 ATS on the season with a 5.7-point winning margin and a negative 0.2-point differential versus the spread. That mark has them sat at the bottom of Big 12 standings versus the spread. As well, against the Big 12, they are 1-3 ATS with a 0.8-point losing margin and a negative 1.6-point differential versus the spread; they covered in a 94-91 upset win over Iowa State as the +1.5 underdogs.

Betting Verdict
Oklahoma State are riding poor form into this game, desperate to get back into the win column. It may be a tough ask to mastermind the complete upset and take the win in Texas, but eight points does seem a lot to lay with the hosts when they are rather subpar versus the spread in basketball betting. As a result, we’re backing the Cowboys as the +8 underdogs on our NCAAM picks.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Oklahoma State +8 
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

San Diego vs. No.25 Gonzaga
San Diego (6-10, 1-4) enter their clash with No.25 Gonzaga as the hefty double-digit road underdogs across sports betting platforms, trading anywhere from +20 to +20.5, depending on your sportsbook of choice. That’s down to the hosts and their solid form coming into this game with a seven-game winning streak, but it’s still a lot of points for the San Diego Toreros to work with and it just might be plush enough to pull off the cover for our basketball picks. Granted the Toreros are wallowing in the bottom half of the West Coast Standings with a subpar 6-10 season that includes a 1-4 record in WCC play, but they are 7-8 ATS on the season, which is a lot better than their ranked opponents Gonzaga’s rather lowly 4-10-1 ATS record. In Big 12 play, the pair are almost neck-and-neck: San Diego 2-3-0 ATS and Gonzaga 2-4-0 ATS.

Betting Verdict
The hosts are riding a seven-game winning streak into this game, but they’ve only covered twice during that run – all of which featured matchups with double-digit spreads. What this suggests is bookies might be overestimating Gonzaga Bulldogs to the detriment of their record against the spread. That alone warrants a small stake on the Toreros to cover as the 20-point-ish underdogs, don’t you think?

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NCAA Basketball Pick: San Diego +20
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

 

Washington State vs. No. 18 Arizona
The Pac-12 clash between Washington State and No.18 Arizona is nestled on a double-digit spread with the hosts to the good. College basketball bettors will find the Arizona Wildcats favoured by at least 18 points or more depending on the choice sports betting shop. The hosts returned to winning form with a 99-67 win over Washington, snapping a two-game losing streak to improve to 14-3 SU on the season and 9-8-0 ATS with a 15.4-point winning margin and a plus 1.9-point differential versus the spread. In their last six games, though, they’ve only gone 3-3 ATS, and in Pac-12 action, they’ve gone 2-2 ATS with a 9.8-point winning margin and a plus 3.8-point differential against the spread.

Washington State (9-7, 1-3) are riding a two-game losing streak into this clash and slip down to 12th in the Pac-12 Standings with a 1-3 SU record in the Conference. In their last four, they are only 1-4 SU with losses to USC, Washington and ASU. On the bright side, they weren’t exactly blown off court in those losses, save for the 90-77 loss to USC which was their heftiest during this run of form.They also managed an upset win over UCLA – an 85-78 win as the +4-point home underdogs. As a result, the Washington State Cougars are 8-7 ATS with a 3.8-point winning margin and a plus 0.9-point differential against the spread. When underdogs, they are 4-3 ATS with a 6.4-point losing margin and a plus 1.8-point differential versus the spread.

Betting Verdict
Obviously, No.18 Arizona Wildcats strike an attractive pose on the basketball odds board and home court advantage could prove deciding towards a big win. Washington State Cougars, however, do rise to the occasion when they are at the disadvantage, although not consistently enough. Their last few games were narrow defeats, which is encouraging to us. That and the hosts are struggling versus the spread in recent games. As a result, we’re banking on the road underdogs to cover as the double-digit road underdogs on our basketball picks.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Washington State +18 
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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