Free NCAA Basketball Picks ATS: Kent State vs. Kansas

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, December 30, 2014 2:01 PM GMT

Tuesday, Dec. 30, 2014 2:01 PM GMT

Kansas' NCAA Basketball team has been known to bounce back after suffering a humiliating loss under Bill Self, which makes it a blowout pick against Kent State Tuesday night.

Solid Numbers
Kent State is 8-3 SU and 5-3 ATS through 11 games of the season, which is important to consider when making your NCAA basketball picks, but it hasn’t faced strong competition in non-conference play.

The Golden Flashes rank 39th nationally in surrendering just 58.8 points per game—made possible by playing a schedule that sits 319th in terms of opposing offensive efficiency.

Since the start of the 2012-13 campaign, the squad is 11-19 SU and 20-9-1 ATS as underdogs in NCAA basketball odds, with the OVER going 11-8 in 19 opportunities.

 

Lifeless 
Kansas looked like a team that needed the holiday break last time out, which can’t be ignored when looking over the NCAA basketball odds, as it suffered a 77-52 defeat to Temple as eight-point road favorites on Dec. 22.

The Jayhawks will need Perry Ellis and Frank Mason III to lead the team offensively, as they average 12.5 and 11.7 points per game respectively.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 19-0 SU and 12-7 ATS as home favorites of 12.5 or more points.

 

Plenty of Depth
The Golden Flashes hold a 252-135 advantage in bench scoring under head coach Rob Senderoff, who has actually won all three of his road games versus Power 5 conferences.

Kent State’s reserves account for 31.3 percent of the team’s minutes this season, while the roster in general ranks 14th in terms of experience on the floor.

 

Home Sweet Home
The Jayhawks have won their last 13 games at Allen Fieldhouse by an average of 17.4 points, as they look to improve Self’s overall record to 180-9 SU at the historic venue.

In 12 seasons in Lawrence, Self has won more Big 12 Conference titles than lost home games at the facility, while the team is knocking down 77 percent of its free throws in familiar surroundings.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Jayhawks as one of their ATS picks, as they’ve covered the number in their last seven games following a loss of 20-plus points.

Kansas has also managed to go 5-1 ATS in its last six contests versus Mid-American Conference opponents.

Free NCAA Basketball Pick:  Kansas Jayhawks -16 at Pinnacle Sports

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