Free College Basketball Picks: Monday NCAAB Value Plays

Steven Suarez

Monday, February 11, 2013 3:20 PM UTC

Monday, Feb. 11, 2013 3:20 PM UTC

It's time to break down tonight's college basketball slate and see which games are offering us the best value. Which teams have we decided to back with our NCAA Basketball picks tonight?

Are you on the right side with your sports picks for the day? Let's take a look at two games and decide where the best value lies.

Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Georgetown Hoyas

The Hoyas will be in the hunt for their sixth straight win tonight when they welcome Marquette to the Verizon Center.

When we last checked the NCAA basketball odds, Georgetown was favored by 4.5 points at practically every available outlet, with the O/U settling in around the 121 mark. Coming in the Hoyas have been a profitable 10-7 ATS, while the Golden Eagles are even at 9-9 ATS.

We are going to be steering clear from a pick on the spread for this evening's Big East tilt. Georgetown has cashed in six straight games, but Marquette is one of the most underrated teams in the country and we wouldn't be surprised if they won this thing outright. It's a no play for us.

However, a selection on this matchup's total is intriguing to us. Despite the fact only 97 total points were scored when these teams met up last month, we feel the OVER is the best play tonight.

For one, it's unlikely we'll see both Georgetown and Marquette shoot under 40 percent once more. Junior Cadougan and Vander Blue were a combined 5-of-20 and we'd be shocked if they're that inefficient again, especially in Blue's case. He's averaging a team-leading 15.0 PPG on the season.

Even though Greg Whittington has been unable to play due to being academically ineligible, the Hoyas are still playing good ball, mainly because of Otto Porter (15.0 PPG and 8.0 RPG) and Markel Starks (12.2 PPG). Those two totaled 31 points in the earlier encounter with Marquette and will be the focal points on offense again tonight.

Georgetown has been excellent defensively, but we still think offense wins out here. Over each team's last five, the Hoyas are averaging 65.4 PPG on 48.2 percent shooting overall and 38.9 percent from three, while the Golden Eagles have put up 70.8 PPG on 48.3 percent shooting. The OVER has hit the mark in four of Georgetown's last five home contests and we think there's a good chance it'll be the right side here.

NCAA Basketball Pick: OVER 121


TCU Horned Frogs vs. Oklahoma Sooners

Tonight the Sooners will try to follow up a statement win over Kansas by taking care of business at home again against TCU. As of now Oklahoma is favored by a staggering 15.5 points, while the total is at 118.

The fact of the matter is the Horned Frogs, despite that insanely random win over Kansas, are still a bad team. They're averaging a horrific 48.7 PPG on 37.9 percent shooting overall on the road this season.

That ice-cold shooting is the primary reason TCU has won just one road contest all year long, which came against a Rice team that's 5-18 SU. The Horned Frogs won by just two points. Enough said.

Other than that one win, TCU has fallen by double digits in all but one of their road contests. They lost by 21 to West Virginia, by 18 to Oklahoma State, and by 17 to Texas, just to name off a few. The Horned Frogs were also held to 40 points in an 11-point loss to Baylor one month ago.

Meanwhile, Oklahoma is looking to build up some momentum as the season draws to a close. They had been struggling before the win over KU, losing three of four both straight up and against the spread.

Sometimes, one big win is all it takes. Romero Osby and Steven Pledger were tremendous against the Jayhawks, and along with Amath M'Baye have been the heart and soul of the team. Look for all three to help get Oklahoma off to a fast start.

With the Sooners now high on confidence and sporting a nice 11-7 ATS overall record (5-2 ATS at home), we think they'll be able to easily run over a terribly inefficient offensive team in TCU tonight. The Horned Frogs have gone 6-12 ATS overall this season, so let's make Oklahoma the second of our free college basketball picks. Good luck! 

NCAA Basketball Pick: Oklahoma Sooners -15.5


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