Florida State Has The Roster To Overpower Clemson

Mark Lathrop

Sunday, February 5, 2017 3:35 PM UTC

Sunday, Feb. 5, 2017 3:35 PM UTC

Our expert college basketball handicapper has hit 8 of his last 9 picks ATS, and looks to continue the good times rolling as we get some pregame college basketball action in before Super Bowl LI.

2015-16 NCAAB Record: 27-17-2, +8.30 Units 

15th ranked and 19-4 Florida State is one game behind North Carolina in the ACC standings, and looks to keep up with North Carolina as they host the 13-8 Clemson Tigers at home. The Seminoles have been unbeaten there SU this season, going 14-0. They’ve really brought home the bacon there, as it were.

Leading the Seminoles is the bacon bringer himself, 6’ 7” sophomore guard, Dwayne Bacon. Bacon averages 17.1 points on the season over a very efficient 28.8 minutes per game. He’s scored in double digits in every game he’s played in this year, although he can be very streaky from behind the arc. Following Bacon in scoring for the Seminoles is freshman 6’ 10” forward, Jonathan Isaac, who averages 13.3 points and 8 rebounds per game. Isaac has 6 double-doubles on the season, with 5 of those coming at home.

After Isaac, the Seminoles are very deep and have 6 more players averaging 4.7 to 10.5 points per game. They also have 11 players that average more than 10 minutes per game, and nobody averages more than 30 points per game.

The Seminoles have shot very well at home and averages 90.1 points per game. That deep bench has served them well on defense there too, giving up only 71 points per game. The biggest difference at home for the Seminoles hasn’t been scoring though, it has been shooting percentages. Florida State shoots a very strong 50.6% at home, and allows only 40% to opponents. That disparity is incredible.

Visiting the Seminoles is a Clemson team that has struggled shooting on the road, compiling 69.8 points per game in that situation versus 75.4 points per game overall. Leading the Tigers is 6’ 7” senior, Jaron Bollomgame, who averages 18 points and 5.7 rebounds per game. The only other Tiger averaging over 10 points is 6’ 2” senior guard, Avry Holmes. Clemson is bit undersized in the back court, and their big men also have a tendency to get into foul trouble.

The only advantage I see for Clemson in this game is that their roster is loaded with upper classmen. However, I have stopped taken that into consideration as a betting angle in college basketball. There are just too many underclassmen that are super stars in their own right. Florida State looks to have a sheer physical advantage here, roster wise, and you add in their home court advantage and Clemson will want to be heading to the hotel to watch football sooner rather than later. Florida State rolls here and wins by double-digits, so I am taking them at -7 at 5Dimes as my Sunday college basketball pick.

Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Florida State-7Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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