Florida and Indiana Produce Your College Hoops Picks of the Day

Jay Pryce

Monday, December 4, 2017 1:26 PM UTC

Monday, Dec. 4, 2017 1:26 PM UTC

Your best value college basketball picks on Monday feature the Fresh from Florida Showdown series between Florida State and Florida, and Indiana's Big Ten home opener hosting Iowa. Get your betting previews and predictions here. 

Florida State at No. 6 Florida (-9)

No. 6 Florida (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) has not fared well in recent years in the Fresh from Florida Sunshine Showdown series. It is 43-25 all-time, but since 2006 are just 5-6 SU and 4-7 ATS, despite tipping off -4.4 favorites on average. In four matchups Florida entered ranked in the AP Top 25 in this span, it lost each.

This might be the best Gators team in a while, especially on offense. It ranks ninth nationally in KenPom’s efficiency ratings, putting up 99.5 points per game. Four times the Gators have hit the century mark in a game, one away from tying a school record. Junior guard Jalen Hudson leads the team with 21.7 points per game. Three others post double figures: graduate transfer Egor Koulechov (17.7), KeVaughn Allen (13.5), and Chris Chiozza (13.2). Koulechov, a 3-point specialist, is straight fire from deep:

Daggers by Egor Koulechov. #Gators pic.twitter.com/fXhIkWCPjJ

— OnlyGators.com ?? Florida Gators news (@onlygators) November 24, 2017

Head coach Mike White's roster is one of the oldest, deepest, and most experienced in Florida history. Six players have logged more than 70 games at the D-I level.

Like the Gators, undefeated Florida State (6-0 SU, 5-0 ATS) is a lot of offense thus far this season. It ranks 35th in efficiency, fielding five players scoring double figures: Terance Mann (15.3), Phil Cofer (14.2), Brian Angola (11.3), C.J. Walker (11.0), and Mfiondu Kabengele (11.0). The team overall is young and inexperienced. Head coach Leonard Hamilton has just three scholarship upperclassmen on the roster. The preseason ACC media poll voted the Seminoles to finish eighth and miss the NCAA Tournament. Last year’s invitation to the Big Dance was its first since 2012.

Florida State has never won four in a row versus Florida, and don’t look for it to rewrite history tonight. The strong scoring numbers to open the season have come against some lackluster opponents; the Seminoles rank 319th in strength of schedule. Hamilton is missing 49.1 points per game of production from last year with the loss of Dwayne Bacon, Isaac, Rathan-Mayes, Michael Ojo, and Jarquez Smith. Florid State’s inexperience will show in a true road rivalry game. Hamilton’s Seminoles have failed to win and cover their last seven straight when squaring off against ranked opponents while unranked. Lay the points on the NCAAB odds boards with Gators. They win by 10 or more.

Free NCAAB Pick: Florida -9
Best Lines Available (-105) at Heritage

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Iowa at Indiana (-4.5)

One has to go back to the 2009-10 season to find the last time Iowa (4-4 SU, 1-3 ATS) and Indiana (4-4 SU, 2-6 ATS) clashed with neither sporting a winning record. For the record, the Hawkeyes swept both games that year.

Iowa coach Fran McCaffery has yet to field a team at full strength this season. Underclassmen are carrying the load, representing the team’s top seven scorers. Tyler Cook and Isaiah Moss lead the bunch with 15.3 and 13.8 points per game respectively. The young crew is not afraid to launch it from deep and is quite successful, too. The Hawkeye’s shoot 40 percent from behind the arc, second best in the Big Ten. They average 79.8 points per game, a tad less than their conference-leading 80.5 from a season ago.

The Hoosiers are still learning a new system under first-year head coach Archie Miller. Defense is the primary trouble spot. Indiana allows a Big Ten-worst 75.1 points per game, and only Northwestern (.465) yields a higher opponent field goal percentage than the .461 surrendered by the unit. The team is doing better cherishing possessions, however. Its 11.9 turnovers per game are down considerably from the 15.2 gifted last year.

Indiana owns the stronger talent and will grow each time out under Miller’s guidance. McCaffery’s Hawkeyes are just 13-36 SU as a road pup in conference play all-time. The ‘under’ is 29-19-1 in this span, Iowa shooting 42.2 percent from the floor overall. Indiana owns the worst 3-point defense in the conference, but are improving, holding their last five opponents to 33 percent from behind the arc. Miller has the Hoosiers playing slower this season with a 273 tempo rating. They’ll keep Iowa under control, but won’t be capable of pulling too far away. My free NCAAB pick ‘under’ 152 points.

Free College Basketball Picks: UNDER the Total of 152
Best Lines Available (-105) at Heritage

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