Fired-Up Temple +7.5 Our South Region Tournament Pick vs. Iowa

Doug Upstone

Thursday, March 17, 2016 6:45 PM GMT

Thursday, Mar. 17, 2016 6:45 PM GMT

Afternoon action continues in the NCAA tournament with another South Region skirmish, involving teams from the Big Ten the American conferences, who have way more teams than 10 in them.

Iowa was Top 10 team not that many weeks ago and is 4-0 SU against the two clubs that played for the conference championship, Michigan State and Purdue. The Hawkeyes have fallen on hard times for a variety of reasons and they have to pick themselves up quickly or their season will end abruptly.

Temple was a surprise winner in the AAC, but played like the tired team in the conference tournament against Connecticut, who was coming off four OT's the day before and lost 77-62.

Each is out to prove they are better and the NCAA tournament odds have Iowa as -7 point favorite with total of 139.5 for this truTV clash which starts around 3:10 Eastern.

 

Iowa
SU and ATS Records - 21-10, 14-14 ATS

Away Record - 8-8 and 7-9 ATS

Favorite Record - 15-6 and 10-11 ATS

3 or More Days Rest - 9-6 and 6-8 ATS

Off a SU Loss - 5-4 SU and 3-6 ATS

 

Temple
SU and ATS Record - 21-11, 17-13 ATS

Away Record - 10-8 and 10-8 ATS

Underdog Record - 6-8 and 9-5 ATS

3 or More Days Rest - 15-4 and 12-6 ATS

Off a SU Win - 9-1 SU and 6-3 ATS

 

The Game Scoop
Iowa comes into the tournament one of the coldest clubs of the 68 in the field at 2-6 and 1-7 ATS. When you are going that poorly, the issues are more than just a few repairable breakdowns, something larger is in the works.

In watching the Hawkeyes play, they really look like they are just worn out. Losing can do that too you, but so can the pressure one places on itself. The Iowa bench which was a strength for much of the season and scoring better than 20 points per game, has fallen off like people using flip phones, to just about 10 PPG. This places added pressure on the starters due to lack of support and players like Jarrod Uthoff (18.9 PPG) has seen a precipitous fall in field goal accuracy. There is a lot of fodder which says Iowa playing with a clean slate can recover, time will tell.

Like Iowa, Temple has a veteran squad and they depend on three seniors to be their top four scorers. 6-5 guard Quenton DeCosey leads the team in scoring at 15.6 points per game and he also racks up six rebounds and 2.6 assists every time he takes the court. 6-9 sophomore Obi Enechionyia (11.2 PPG) is a force to reckon with in the paint, as is 6-8 senior forward Jaylen Bond (10.2 PPG, 8.3 RPG).

An important factor for the Owls is how well they shoot the ball. On the season they are at only 40.5 percent and in loss to UConn, slipped all the way to 35.9 percent. While any team could get lucky enough to survive such poor shooting, you cannot count on this against this level of competition.

 

Spread Winner and Totals Lean
The spread on this game was one of the first to catch my eye on Sunday and nothing has changed my mind for NCAA tournament picks. For my money, Iowa is in a whole bunch of trouble and I cannot see this team using -The Clapper - like an on and off switch and suddenly without warning start to play better.

Also, these kinds of games have not been the Hawkeyes forte, sitting at is 2-9 ATS in all neutral court games the last two seasons.Though not a lock, the Owls are 17-8 ATS versus offensive teams scoring 77 or more points past the 15-game benchmark of the season, showing with a +0.2 score differential.

Not only does Temple cover, they win outright!

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Temple +7.5
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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