March Madness Final Four Parlay Picks for Saturday: North Carolina vs. Duke and Villanova vs. Kansas

Henry John

Last Updated: April 1, 2022 12:24 PM EDT • 4 min 31 sec read. Twitter link Google News Link

Remy Martin #11 of the Kansas Jayhawks celebrates as we break down the March Madness MVP odds. — Remy Martin #11 of the Kansas Jayhawks celebrates after scoring a three-point basket against the Miami Hurricanes during the second half in the Elite Eight round game of the 2022 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament at United Center on March 27, 2022 in Chicago, Illinois. Photo by Quinn Harris/Getty Images via AFP.

Game bets, props, and more comprise our menu of bet selections to mix and match for some profit during the NCAA Tournament Final Four. Check out our March Madness Final Four parlay picks.

After a wild March Madness tournament, a college basketball champion is soon to be crowned. All eyes will be on New Orleans for the March Madness Final Four.

This year’s bracket produced its fair share of upsets and one of the greatest Cinderella runs in tournament history. However, it's a quartet of college hoops bluebloods that comprise this year’s Final Four.

In the first semifinal, Villanova battles Kansas. The second game on Saturday features the greatest rivalry in college basketball, as North Carolina and Duke go head-to-head in the NCAA Tournament for the first time ever.

For bettors, getting involved in the Final Four includes building a parlay. Though most sportsbooks restrict bettors to specific same-game parlay menus, you can create multiple two- or three-leg parlay tickets using a handful of the best picks.

With that in mind, here are my top March Madness Final Four parlay picks for Saturday’s games (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

March Madness Final Four Parlay Picks

Villanova vs. Kansas -4.5 (-110) ????Remy Martin Over 11.5 points (-140) ???North Carolina vs. Duke Over 151 (-110) ???Armando Bacot Under 13.5 rebounds (-125) ??Total 3-Pointers made Under 45.5 (-115) ???

March Madness Final Four Parlay Predictions

Kansas -4.5 (-110)

At the time of writing, over 70% of all Moneyline bets are on Kansas, while 57% of against the spread tickets are taking Villanova +4.5. Though the Wildcats have been the more successful program when it comes to March Madness in recent years, Kansas figures to simply overwhelm this year’s Villanova squad.

Jay Wright is a terrific coach, but even he will have his work cut out for him in trying to account for the loss of Justin Moore. The junior guard tore his Achilles in the Wildcats’ Elite Eight triumph. Without him, Villanova will be down its second-leading scorer who plays nearly 35 minutes per game. Villanova’s rotation was very tight all season even with Moore in the lineup. Without him, the Wildcats are left with just five players who averaged more than 10 minutes this season.

Meanwhile, Kansas is one of the deepest teams in all of college basketball. That depth has been on display during the Jayhawks’ March Madness run. Leading scorer Ochai Agbaji really hasn’t needed to do all that much for Kansas to reach the Final Four, which is a true testament to the team’s depth. Christian Braun is a steady presence while sophomore big man Jalen Wilson has been a key cog in postseason play. Transfer Remy Martin has also exploded offensively for the Jayhawks.

Look for Kansas to assert itself against an undermanned Villanova squad.

Martin Over 11.5 points (-140)

Martin has certainly proven capable of getting buckets throughout his collegiate career, and bettors can expect more of the same in the Final Four.

After averaging only 8.6 points per game for Kansas during the regular season, Martin has emerged as a primary scorer during March Madness. He's failed to reach double digits only once during the tournament.

Martin finished with 15, 20, and 23 points, respectively in the first round through the Sweet 16. Throw in the Big 12 championship game, and Martin has gone Over 11.5 points in four of the Jayhawks’ last five games.

With Villanova needing to do some shuffling in the backcourt without Moore, Martin should be able to get his again in the Final Four game.

North Carolina-Duke Over 151 (-110)

Offensive excellence will be on display when these rivals collide. Both teams have been ridiculously efficient all season when it comes to putting the ball through the net.

In two head-to-head meetings during the regular season, the teams combined for 154 and 175 points, respectively. And North Carolina hasn’t slowed down since dropping 94 points on the Blue Devils in Mike Krzyzewski's final home game. Despite facing some solid defensive opponents on their run through the East Region, the No. 8-seed Tar Heels have twice surpassed 90 points and finished with no fewer than 69 during March Madness.

Meanwhile, KenPom rates Duke as the most efficient offense in the country. The Blue Devils have been even more consistent throughout the tournament than their opponent has. The Blue Devils haven't scored fewer than 78 points en route to the Final Four, including a 78-point performance against Texas Tech's No. 1-ranked defense.

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Bacot Under 13.5 rebounds (-125)

Bacot dominated an undersized Saint Peter's frontcourt and finished with 22 rebounds. The 6-foot-10 junior averaged an impressive 12.6 boards per game this season, and he's been pounding the glass throughout March Madness. He's had no fewer than 14 in four of the Tar Heels’ last five games.

Unfortunately, Bacot’s impressive stretch could come to a screeching halt in the Final Four. Thanks to his work against Saint Peter's, his prop total is set at 13.5, almost a full rebound more than his season average.

Additionally, in the two regular-season meetings against Duke, Bacot had two of his worst rebounding performances of the year. He totaled five rebounds in the blowout loss in Chapel Hill and had only seven in the upset win at Cameron Indoor.

The Blue Devils have plenty of long, athletic bigs in their frontcourt. Expect them to limit Bacot’s production on the glass yet again.

Total 3-pointers made Under 45.5 (-115)

We round out our Final Four parlay picks with a wager that stretches into the national title game on Monday.

The line for total 3-pointers made across all three games is set at 45.5. Despite the tremendous offensive efficiency ratings by all four teams, none are overly reliant on the 3-point shot.

Villanova attempted the most shots from beyond the arc with 25.9 per game this season. It's the only Final Four team that ranked in the top 100 in average triples attempted.

Additionally, the Final Four tends to bring out the very best defensive effort from those teams involved, and playing in a football stadium tends to throw off outside shooters.

To put the line of 45.5 into perspective, consider the regular-season finale between North Carolina and Duke. The teams combined for 175 points, yet the game featured only 16 made 3-pointers.

Considering Villanova is shorthanded and Kansas ranked only 262nd in the country in 3-pointers attempted per game this season, this number will be tough to hit.

March Madness Final Four Parlay Sample Tickets

Kansas -4.5 (-110) + North Carolina-Duke Over 151 (-110) = +264Martin Over 11.5 points (-140) + North Carolina-Duke Over 151 (-110) = +227Kansas -4.5 (-110) + Bacot Under 13.5 rebounds (-125) = +243

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Written By:
Henry John

Henry’s passion for sports dates all the way back to childhood and has ultimately led to a full-fledged career as an analyst and content creator. After getting his start penning fantasy football articles, he forrayed into the betting side of the business in early 2019. His love for sports and statistics proved to be an ideal match with the dedicated research and strategy that handicapping requires. Henry currently specializes in betting analysis and picks for college football, college basketball, and NASCAR. He counts NFL, WNBA, and NBA player props as additional leagues/markets of interest. Henry graduated from SUNY Buffalo in 2021 with a Communication Studies degree and a Psychology minor. A native of the Finger Lakes region in Upstate New York, he and his pup, Harold, have since relocated to Laramie, Wyoming. Thanks to his professional goals within the sports betting industry, there has been a whole lot of steam on the odds for a move to Las Vegas in 2023! Most of Henry’s free time is spent on outdoor adventures, playing chess, snowboarding, or reading a good book. He is also a competitive powerlifter and aspires to qualify for the USAPL Nationals meet within the next 2-3 years.