Final Four Most Outstanding Player Odds, Prop Bets

Jay Pryce

Friday, March 30, 2018 1:30 PM UTC

Friday, Mar. 30, 2018 1:30 PM UTC

The Final Four proposition betting market presents plenty of value, starting with the Most Outstanding Player Award. Here’s a look at the updated odds, including a pair of our favorite prop wagers in Saturday’s Loyola (Chicago)-Michigan and Kansas-Villanova matchups.

Most Outstanding Player Award

Villanova guard Jalen Brunson is the clear-cut favorite headed into the Final Four to win the NCAA Tournament’s Most Outstanding Player award at +240 odds. The junior All-American has already taken home Big East Player of the Year honors, a pair of College National Player of the Year awards as voted on by the Associated Press and Sporting News, and is a finalist for the John R. Wooden trophy. Brunson is clearly the best player on the best team. If betting, consider this: the MOP winner has played on the championship team in every year since 1967. Villanova is the Final Four favorite at -105 currently.

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.@jalenbrunson1 is your 2018 Associated Press Men’s College Basketball Player of the Year! 👏🏆#LetsMarchNova #NovaMBB

— Villanova MBB (@NovaMBB) March 29, 2018

Brunson opened as MOP top choice at +700 odds prior to the first round, but slipped to second behind Duke freshman Marvin Bagley III after posting just 28 points through 52 minutes during the opening weekend. The 6-foot-3 guard nearly doubles the current second choice in price, teammate Mikal Bridges (+400). Bridges, averaging 17.8 points per game and 43.6 percent from long range, went off sixth choice at +1400 odds prior to the tournament. Two other Villanova starters sit in the top 10: Donte DiVincenzo (+2000) and Omari Spellman (+2000).

Kansas guard Malik Newman is third choice overall at +750 odds. The former McDonald’s All-American has exploded late in the year, averaging 18.1 points on 51.3 percent shooting in his past 13 games. Newman arguably put in the performance of the tournament thus far, notching a career-high 32 points and playing lock-down defense in the Jayhawks’ epic Elite Eight overtime win against Duke. Kansas, catching 5 points in Saturday’s showdown against Nova, has lost once since Feb. 10.

Here’s the top 10 betting choices with updated odds (March 30) for Most Outstanding Player at Bovada sportsbook:

2018 NCAA Tournament – Most Outstanding Player Odds
Jalen Brunson (Villanova) +240
Mikal Bridges (Villanova) +400
Malik Newman (Kansas) +750
Devonte Graham (Kansas) +800
Charles Matthews (Michigan) +1000
Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman (Michigan) +1000
Moritz Wagner (Michigan) +1200
Donte DiVicenzo (Villanova) +2000
Omari Spellman (Villanova) +2000
Clayton Custer (Loyola-Chicago) +3300

Best bets: Jalen Brunson (+240), Charles Matthews (+1000)

The Wildcats are on a path to win it all, and their team leader will not be overlooked for the honor if they do. Couple this bet with a pick on Michigan guard Charles Matthews. The Wolverines will likely be playing for the title, and Matthews is putting up the team’s best overall numbers in the tournament with 16.5 points and 7.2 rebounds per game. Either player wins and you cash.

Final Four Game Props

No. 11 Loyola-Chicago vs. No. 3 Michigan (-5)

Best Bet: Total Number of 3-pointers O/U 15.5 (-110) @ 5Dimes

Michigan has tipped off single-digit favorites 17 times this season. The average number of total 3-pointers under these conditions equal 13.4 per game. Loyola-Chicago is efficient from behind the arc (40.0 percent), but only put up 36.1 percent of its shots from the area. It also attacks at the 315th-slowest tempo in the country. Current market projections pit the Ramblers’ team total at 62 points.

The Wolverines hold a superior size advantage. They will have few problems in the paint, which will allow for more aggressive guarding on the perimeter. It will not shock to see Loyola fail to crack 60 points. Michigan allows 5.0 treys per game when holding opponents to under 70 points this season. The Wolverines will threaten a double-digit tally from the area but come up short in the end. If close at the buzzer, the game will come down to a free-throw shooting contest rather than a 3-point one.

No. 1 Kansas vs. No. 1 Villanova (-5)

Best Bet: Brunson points+assists O/U 23 @ 5Dimes

Elite players tend to perform best on the biggest stages, so naturally opponents pay extra special attention to Villanova's Brunson in the NCAA Tournament. In 12 contests all-time, the junior guard only averages 11.8 points and 2.6 assists in 26.9 minutes per game. Brunson’s role is clearly more prominent this season than in the previous two, but the fact remains the future NBA’er has only tallied more than 23 points+assists once in a Big Dance clash. Head coach Jay Wright has a ton of weapons, and the selfless Brunson will use the added attention to see his teammates shine. Pick ‘under’ here for your best bet.

Check out SBR’s college basketball odds page for updated lines. Also, head over to the March Madness Betting Headquarters for vital handicapping information, picks, and a list of the best sports books and live betting options for the tournament season.

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