Final Four Odds Shopping: Best Odds & Lines for Duke-UNC, Kansas-Villanova March Madness Championship Weekend

Jon Metler

Last Updated: April 1, 2022 11:34 AM EDT • 2 min 31 sec read. Twitter link Google News Link

NEW ORLEANS, LOUISIANA - APRIL 01: Head coach Mike Krzyzewski of the Duke Blue Devils talks to players during practice before the 2022 Men's Basketball Tournament Final Four at Caesars Superdome on April 01, 2022 in New Orleans, Louisiana. Jamie Squire/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by JAMIE SQUIRE / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)

This year's Final Four takes place at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA. Which of Villanova, Kansas, North Carolina, or Duke will play in Monday's National Championship game? In advance of Saturday's Final Four games, we examine the best odds, lines, and movements.

On Saturday, the No. 1 seeded Kansas Jayhawks of the Midwest Region will face off against the No. 2 seeded Villanova Wildcats of the South Region. Kansas is the only No. 1 seed to reach the Final Four in this year's NCAA Tournament.

The Duke Blue Devils will play the rival North Carolina Tar Heels in the second game on Saturday. Coach K has won 50 of the last 100 meetings between North Carolina and Duke, while North Carolina has won 49 of them. Is North Carolina capable of ending Coach K's coaching career?

https://twitter.com/Pickswise/status/1509919288462823429

Before we make a wager on the Final Four, let's find the best odds and lines.

Villanova-Kansas: Final Four Best Odds and Lines

Point spread

https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/ARudS/1/

In the opening point spread, Kansas was favored by 3 points over Villanova. We haven't seen a -3 since the opener, as the line moved quickly from -3 to -4 and is now touching -4.5 at BetMGM and DraftKings Sportsbook. With 76% of the cash and 61% of the tickets on Kansas, we may see this number reach -5 by game time, as bettors continue to back Kansas even at -4.5.

https://twitter.com/KUHoops/status/1509594647366144003

Total

https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/Dq84o/1/

The original total for this game was 132.5 and most sportsbooks have stayed close to the opening line with the exception of Caesars Sportsbook, which has a total of 134. Considering 79% of the cash and 65% of the tickets are on the Under, it is surprising to see Caesars with a 134. You will want to do your shopping at Caesars if you are contemplating playing the Under on this total on Saturday.

Moneyline

https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/LYtBS/1/

The Jayhawks opened as -165 favorites against Villanova on the moneyline and the line has been moving in favor of Kansas ever since. Kansas is still attracting bets despite the line being as short as -200 at BetMGM, Caesars and PointsBet. Even with Kansas priced at -200, 91% of the cash and 75% of the tickets are on the Jayhawks to win this game outright.

https://twitter.com/JClarkNBCS/status/1509956021745291273

North Carolina-Duke: Final Four Best Odds and Lines

Spread

https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/HcJp6/1/

The point spread for Duke's game against North Carolina opened at 4 points. The spread is consistently fluctuating between 4 and 4.5. With the point spread set at Duke -4, 68% of the cash has been placed on Duke. In cases where the sportsbooks have moved the line to Duke -4.5, 54% of the cash is being wagered on North Carolina. Expect this number to fluctuate between 4 and 4.5 until game time.

https://twitter.com/UNC_Basketball/status/1509722508370579459

Total

https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/Skbn2/1/

This game opened with a total of 149.5, but we have seen it bet up to 151.5 at BetMGM and PointsBet. At present, we are seeing 78% of the cash and 69% of the tickets on the Over. Moving the total up to 151.5 has not affected how people are betting on the game total, since 83% of the cash and 67% of the tickets are currently on the Over at this exact number. KenPom predicts that this game will end with a total score of 154 points, which is most likely the reason for the influx of money on the Over.

Moneyline

https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/GglUX/1/

Although North Carolina is being backed on the point spread against Duke, the moneyline wagering has been extremely one-sided. Duke opened as a -180 favorite, but has since been shortened to -200 with sportsbooks such as PointsBet. Currently, 96% of the cash and 78% of the tickets are on Duke. Despite the price point being moved to -200, 97% of the cash is still on Duke.

Where to Bet on the Final Four

Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:

FanDuel Sportsbook Caesars Sportsbook DraftKings Sportsbook PointsBet BetMGM

SEE ALSO: All picks, odds, and sports betting news. Be sure to check out SportsbookReview.com’s community forums and betting tools.

Written By:
Jon Metler

Jon Metler is a Sports Betting Analyst at SportsbookReview.com. Having played, coached, and officiated basketball, he immediately turned his attention to the NBA and College Basketball when he entered the sports betting space. Sports betting has been a part of his life for over 13 years, and he specializes in futures markets and player props, particularly in the NBA. In pursuit of value, he keeps a close eye on movements in the betting markets. He believes strongly in analytics and staying ahead of the curve; let the numbers do the talking. A graduate of the University of Windsor with a degree in Sports Studies, Jon enjoys spending time with his dogs when he isn't watching basketball.