Fade Texas vs. Michigan for NCAA Tournament Betting

Ross Benjamin

Friday, March 21, 2014 2:02 PM UTC

Friday, Mar. 21, 2014 2:02 PM UTC

The #2 seed Michigan Wolverines meet the #7 seed Texas Longhorns in the 3rd round of the NCAA Tournament Midwest Regional. Find out who our resident professional handicapper sides with in his NCAA basketball picks.

A Workmanlike Performance
Although the 2nd round 57-40 win by Michigan over Wofford on Thursday won’t go down as a great performance by the Wolverines, it certainly was a dominant one. Michigan was never seriously threatened in the game, and at no time did you get the feeling that Wofford had an inkling of a chance to win.

The Wolverines opened up a 34-20 lead at the half, and despite the Terriers cutting the lead to 7 in the final 10 minutes of the 2nd half the #2 seed coasted the rest of the way. Michigan was terrific defensively in not only holding their opponent to 40-points, but also 34% shooting from the field which included 1-19 (5.3%) from beyond the three-point line. Wofford attempted just 4 free throws in the entire game, and were outrebounded by the Wolverines 40-31.

Texas Hold’Em
The Texas Longhorns survived to play another day by squeaking out an 87-85 win in the 2nd round over the Arizona State Sun Devils on Thursday night. After squandering a 14-point 2nd half lead the Longhorns were able to escape with the victory on a Cameron Ridley basket at the buzzer. Texas was extremely efficient on the offensive end converting on a sizzling 53.4% of their field goal attempts, 41.7% of their three-point tries, and going 20-27 (74.1%) from the free throw line. They protected the ball very well committing just 9 turnovers.

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Their defensive play left a lot to be desired. They allowed the Sun Devils to shoot 48.2% from the field and torrid 53.3 from beyond the three-point line. Arizona State was also able to get to the free throw line 33 times. The defensive liabilities they displayed came on the heels of a similarly poor effort in an 86-69 loss to Baylor in the Big 12 conference tournament.

Final Analysis
According to NCAA basketball odds there wasn’t a line posted yet at the time of this writing. However, my personal power numbers which have been very accurate in past articles here at sbrforum.com, indicate that Michigan would be a 6.5 point favorite on a neutral court. As I alluded to in my article earlier this week that previewed the Texas and Arizona State 2nd round matchup, this is a Texas team that’s capable of beating any team in the country, but also is a club that’s been far too inconsistent this season. Michigan played far from their best game in their win over Wofford, and still won easily by 17-points. My lean here goes to the #2 seeded Wolverines minus the points.

Free Pick: Michigan minus the points over Texas


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