Skip to main content

Duke vs. Miami ACC Odds, Picks, Predictions: Are Blue Devils Worthy Favorites?

Mike Spector

Last Updated: March 10, 2023 8:36 AM EST • 2 min 55 sec read.

Who is the deserved favorite in our Duke vs. Miami picks?
Ryan Young #15 of the Duke Blue Devils shoots over Norchad Omier #15 of the Miami Hurricanes during the first half of the game at Watsco Center on Feb. 6. Megan Briggs/Getty Images/AFP

Two AP top 25 teams meet in the semifinals of the ACC tournament as the No. 4-seed Duke Blue Devils face the No. 1-seed Miami Hurricanes. Read on for our Duke vs. Miami college basketball picks based on the top NCAAB odds.

After losing consecutive road games to the league's top two teams (Miami and Virginia) by a combined 29 points, the Blue Devils finished the regular season with six consecutive wins. Miami's 22-point victory over Duke in Coral Gables was the Blue Devils' second-worst loss of the season. However, Duke still split the regular season with the Hurricanes with a two-point home victory against them in late January. 

Will Miami prove why it was regular season ACC champions for the first time since 2013, or will Duke extend its longest winning streak and claim its spot in the ACC championship?

Here is our best Duke vs. Miami college basketball pick (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Duke vs. Miami odds

Duke vs. Miami prediction

Duke -2.5 (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets

+ No Sweat SGP Every Day of NBA Playoffs 🏀

Claim $200
Sportsbook Review may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook betting site. 21+. Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly

The emergence of Tyrese Proctor has been vital to Duke's winning streak, as he gives the Blue Devils another ball-handler and playmaker to take defensive attention away from Jeremy Roach. The freshman shooting guard has scored in double figures in five consecutive games, and when he's putting pressure on opposing defenses as he has in the last two games (16 combined free throw attempts in the final two regular-season games), Duke is hard to guard.

This is the healthiest Duke has been all year, as Roach, forward Dariq Whitehead, and center Dereck Lively have all missed games. Whitehead missed the 81-59 loss to Miami, and while his presence likely would not have made up the 22-point difference that night, he would have provided head coach Jon Scheyer more versatility with which to defend Miami's guards. 

We also expect the Blue Devils to play much better offensively than their seventh-ranked adjusted offensive efficiency in league play now that their roster is intact. Duke is a menace to keep off the offensive glass, ranking seventh nationally in offensive rebounding percentage (36.8%) and ranks in the top two in league play in effective field goal percentage defense, 3-point shooting percentage allowed (32.2%), and 2-point shooting percentage allowed (46.3%).

Duke will have what feels like a home-court advantage in Greensboro. The Blue Devils are 3-1 against the spread in their last four games, covering by an average margin of 13.3 points. Thus, they are worthy favorites against the regular season ACC champions.

Check out our best March Madness odds and Wooden Award odds.

Duke vs. Miami best odds

DraftKings (-110)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsPointsBet
-2.5-2.5-2.5-3-2.5
-2.5 -110+2.5 -110-2.5 -110+2.5 -110-2.5 -115+2.5 -105-3 -110+3 -110-2.5 -110+2.5 -110

Duke backers have their choice of DraftKings, FanDuel, or PointsBet of where to make their wagers, as all those sportsbooks offer the same 2.5-point spread at standard -110 juice. Interestingly, though those three have the same point spread odds, their Moneyline offerings differ, with DraftKings and FanDuel at -140 and PointsBet at -145.

Editor's note: Hey Massachusetts! Welcome to legal online sports betting. Check out the best sites for Massachusetts sports betting and the best Massachusetts sportsbook promos! 21+ and present in MA. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER  

Duke vs. Miami odds analysis

Duke opened as consensus 3.5-point favorites overnight, but any line movement that has occurred since has moved in the direction of the Hurricanes, who are at +2.5 or +3 across all sportsbooks. 

The Over/Under opened at 145.5, and can be found as low as 144.5 at FanDuel and WynnBet. Despite the Over attracting 64% of all wagers, the only line movement has been towards the Under at this point.

Duke vs. Miami game info

  • Date: Friday, March 10, 7 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Location: Greensboro Coliseum, Greensboro, NC

Duke-Miami pick made 3/10/2023 at 6:16 a.m. ET.

Here are our best March Madness betting sites:

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Related pages

Written By:
Mike Spector
I have been in the sports writing industry for over three years, working for sites like BettingPros/FantasyPros, Oddschecker, and Sportsbook Review. In my first year writing for BettingPros, I finished with the #2 overall record in their annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an over/under and moneyline perspective. I am an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, and all college sports. In my opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and I am especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. I am a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." Follow me on Twitter for my best bets and commentary to go along with the wagers.