Davidson, Temple Big Home Favorites in NCAAB Conference Matchups

Jay Pryce

Sunday, January 28, 2018 2:09 PM UTC

Sunday, Jan. 28, 2018 2:09 PM UTC

Davidson is an 11-point favorite at home against Richmond, while Temple is spotting 6 to visiting UConn on Sunday. Do you think chalk will cover when making your NCAAB picks?

Sunday College Basketball: Richmond vs. DavidsonFree NCAAB Pick: Under 144Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3336525, "sportsbooksIds":[238,19,169,1096,180], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

After winning just three of its first 16 contests, Richmond (7-13 SU, 8-10 ATS) is seeking its fifth straight A-10 victory at Davidson (10-8 SU, 6-9 ATS) on Sunday. The odds are highly against, the Spiders catching 11 points on the NCAAB odds board. Don’t dismiss Head Coach Chris Mooney’s chances, however. Richmond has won the last three meetings, each as an underdog (+11, +0.5, and +6.5).

Hot shooting is fueling the Spiders’ turnaround. They've averaged 75.8 points per game on 52.5 percent from the floor in their last four -- a drastic turn for a team that ranks in the bottom half (192) of Division-I programs in adjusted offensive efficiency per KenPom. Even more impressive is the fact 76 percent of the team’s scoring comes from underclassmen, the 16th-highest rate nationally.

From the 3-point area, the Spiders are hitting 39.1 percent during the run. For the year, they have surpassed their projected team total in seven of nine contests versus opponents yielding greater than 34 percent from the area. Davidson allows 36.5 percent per game.

The Wildcats own the 28th-most efficient offense in the nation; par for the course for a Bob McKillop-coached group. The trio of senior Peyton Aldridge (20.3 ppg), freshman guard Kellan Grady (15.4 ppg), and sophomore guard Jon Axel Gudmundsson (14.9 ppg) produce 66 percent of the team’s points.

[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "


Aldridge Grabs Another A-10 Weekly Honor

STORYhttps://t.co/PGpojGECcg pic.twitter.com/DcFSYdrVRQ

— Davidson Basketball (@DavidsonMBB) January 22, 2018

This bunch is a bit different from prior years, with McKillop having slowed the pace. Davidson ranks 320 out of 351 in tempo, in part to keep his thin squad rested with just seven players rotating regularly. The deliberate attack is disrupting the betting market. When squaring off against opponents averaging fewer than 56 field-goal attempts per game, the under is 6-2 with a 127.8 combined score staying 11.7 points south of a 139.6 average total. The Spiders put up 56 per game.

Will Richmond’s offensive explosion continue? We’re not convinced. The Cats allow 62.2 points per game against those putting up fewer than the 73.4 D-I average for the year, the last six staying under in this spot. Richmond won 69-58 in the first meeting on December 30 and bettors can expect at least one offense to struggle here. Early money boosted a 140 opening total going up to 144. With your NCAAB picks, go the other way and take the under.

Sunday College Basketball: UConn vs. TempleFree NCAAB Pick: Temple -6Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3336545, "sportsbooksIds":[238,19,169,1096,93], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

Temple (10-10 SU, 8-11 ATS) has played the third-toughest schedule in the country, going 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS against ranked opponents. Is it taking a toll on the team? The betting market could argue yes. The Owls are 0-5-1 at Liacouras Center hosting unranked foes. They fail to cover a -9.2 spread by 9.5 points per game. Going 4-2 SU, none of the victories have been by more than four points.

UConn (11-9 SU, 7-10 ATS) enters under tough circumstances. News broke two days ago that the program is the target of an NCAA investigation into recruiting. Moreover, veteran Terry Larrier, second on the team averaging 14.8 points per game, is out recovering from nasal surgery. This leaves freshmen Josh Carlton, Isaiah Whaley, and Tyler Polley the top three options in the rotation. A tough road game plus inexperience plus off-court distractions could spell trouble tonight for UConn, a +6 road underdog on the NCAAB odds board.

The Huskies average 63.3 points per game as underdogs in road conference clashes under Head Coach Kevin Ollie all-time. The Owls are 16-3 SU holding AAC foes to 70 points or less at home in this span, winning by 9.6 points per game. With your NCAAB picks, expect Temple to cover.

comment here