Consider Underdog Parlay in CIT & CBI Finals

san francisco

Charles Stark

Friday, March 30, 2018 1:02 PM GMT

Friday, Mar. 30, 2018 1:02 PM GMT

Today were going to take a look at championship finals in the CBI and CIT tournaments with San Francisco taking on North Texas, and Illinois-Chicago vs. Northern Colorado. Are the home team favorites the way to go or is there value backing the road dogs?

CIT Final: Illinois-Chicago at Northern ColoradoFree NCAAB Pick: UIC +9Best Line Offered: Bookmaker

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Oddsmakers have come out making Northern Colorado a -9 point-favorite in this spot, but for my NCAA basketball pick I will take Illinois-Chicago despite the fact that leading scorer Dikembe Dixson is out. There is no doubt that Northern Colorado has been a tremendous home team, shooting 50% overall and 38.6% from distance on their own floor. UIC has been subpar when they travel, shooting 44.6% overall and 35% from distance. However, over their last three games UIC is giving up to 64.3 points per game and across the board they are the better defensive team. On the season, the Flames have allowed opponents to shoot just 41.3% overall and 33% from distance, as well as ranking 19th in the country in opponent shooting efficiency. Understandably this line is big because their leading scorer is out, but this is a team that is deep and should be able to keep Northern Colorado to a reasonable number. The Bears have great offensive numbers, shooting 46.8% overall, but defensively they have not been particularly good in allowing opponents shoot over 45%. This is just too many points.

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CBI Final: San Francisco at North TexasFree NCAAB Pick: USF +4.5Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

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This series is knotted up 1-1 with both teams winning on their home floors. In their most recent matchup, North Texas had a great second half in beating the Dons by double digits. Despite that, will take the underdog in San Francisco plus the points. This game should be a lot different than that first matchup now that San Francisco has got their feet on the ground. On their home floor, the Mean Green have been solid shooting 46.2% overall and 34.8% from distance. However, in their first matchup North Texas shot just 39.7% and 11% from distance, compared to San Francisco shooting 42% and 30%, respectively. The double-digit win came from the fact that North Texas got up 68 attempts and got to the line 9 more times than San Francisco. I look for the Dons to continue keeping North Texas to a low percentage but do a better job on limiting attempts as they have been solid in that category allowing just 55.1 per game. This game should go to last shot, so grab the points.

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