Conference Tournament has us Looking at Good Underdog Value in Tulane & Providence

Charles Stark

Thursday, March 8, 2018 4:27 PM UTC

Thursday, Mar. 8, 2018 4:27 PM UTC

March Madness is upon us and today we’re going to look at two underdogs in conference tournament play. In the Big East Providence takes on Creighton, and in the Atlantic 10 Tulane will take on Temple.

Tulane vs. Temple

Oddsmakers have come out making Temple a solid -5.5 favorite, but for my pick in this matchup, I will back the Green Wave plus the points. Interestingly enough these two teams split their two contests this season with both teams winning on the road in solid fashion. Across the board statistically speaking Tulane is the better offensive team shooting 44.9% overall and 34.8% from distance, compared to Temple at 42.2% and 34.5% respectively. As always, it seems like the team that plays the better defense will come out on top and although Temple has better defensive numbers across the board it is not by much and recently the Green Wave have been playing some decent defense allowing just 68.7 points per game in their last three contest. Although they haven’t scored much recently as well they have had some tough matchups in Cincinnati and Central Florida, but Temple is a team I think they compare with very well and they should stay within the number.

Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Tulane +6.5Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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Providence vs. Creighton

On the season these teams have split with both teams winning on their home contest by double digits. Oddsmakers have come out today making Creighton a solid -4 favorite, but for my NCAA basketball pick I will take Providence plus the points. I really like how Providence matches up with Creighton especially on the defensive side of the ball. The Blue Jays have been excellent shooting 49.8% from the floor and they rank sixth in the country in shooting efficiency. However, these numbers are a little bit skewed as Creighton goes from shooting 52.9% at home down to 45.9% when they travel. I like the consistency a Providence who is shooting 44.6% overall and an equal 44.6% on the road. For me, this game will come down to who plays the better defense and although most of their statistics are pretty even Providence is a bit better on that side of the ball as long as they control tempo. What I like best about the fact that Providence has been very good in defending from beyond the arc allowing opponents shoot just 32.4% which will be the point of contention in this matchup. Don’t be shocked if the Friars pull off the small upset.

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Providence +4Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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