College Hoops ATS & Totals Betting Angles Of The Day

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, January 8, 2017 3:24 PM UTC

Sunday, Jan. 8, 2017 3:24 PM UTC

Are you curious enough to find out what the best college basketball betting angles are for Sunday’s card? Ross Benjamin shares 2 of those with you in this sports handicapping article.

Canisius Golden Griffins vs Iona Gaels

Iona enters today averaging a robust 76.2 points scored per game. Conversely, Canisius is a terrible defensive team, and that’s evidenced by the Golden Griffins allowing a mammoth 80.1 points per game. At the time of this writing, Bookmaker lists Iona as a 5.5-point home favorite. This leads us to a straightforward and extremely profitable college betting angle which is illustrated below.

Any college basketball home favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 (Iona), averaging 74 to 78 points scored per game, and is facing an opponent (Canisius) that allows 78 points or more per game, resulted in those home favorites going 45-13 ATS (77.6%) during the past 5 seasons. The average line for the home favorite in those 58 contests was -7.2, and they possessed a substantial +12.0 point per game differential.

This college basketball algorithm makes sense as opposed to being purely coincidental. I’m going to seriously consider Iona for one of my Sunday college basketball picks.

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UCF Knights vs Connecticut Huskies

Let’s concentrate on the total in this contest. A consensus of best sportsbooks shows an average total of 116.0. Central Florida is coming off a 48-45 win over East Carolina in their previous game. UCF came away with a win despite going a miserable 3-17 (17.6%) from beyond the 3-point line. Central Florida has held opponents to a paltry 32.2% shooting from the field this season. Connecticut isn’t bad defensively themselves and has limited its opponents to a mere 39.2% shooting.

Any team (Central Florida) in a game which has a total of 119.5 or less, coming off a game where they made 20% or less of their 3-point attempts, and both teams involved in this contest have held their opponents to 40% or less shooting from the field, resulted in those contests going 42-14 (75%) over the total since 1997. The average total in those 56 contests was 115.8, and there was a combined 126.0 points scored per game.

It’s rare to see a total this low when scouring through daily college basketball betting odds. However, this is one of those unique situations in which it’s occurred. It’s always enticing to go over the total in these instances. Nonetheless, having strong supporting data which I’ve already presented makes it easier to do so in this specific instance.

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