College Basketball Picks: Wake Forest vs. Maryland

Jeff Grant

Thursday, March 14, 2013 1:57 PM GMT

Let’s take a closer look at the NCAA basketball odds for the third meeting between these two teams this season, with the opening tip scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPNU. Where does the best betting value lie?


The Maryland Terrapins will try to win their seventh consecutive game against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons in the ACC Tournament Thursday night, as the two teams prepare to meet at the Greensboro Coliseum.

Two in a row is hard to come by

Wake Forest hasn’t won back-to-back games since Jan. 9-12, as it comes off a 90-79 victory over the Virginia Tech Hokies as six-point home favorites Sunday, while going OVER the posted total of 142.

The Demon Deacons are 1-7 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in March the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER cashing in four of five opportunities in that situation.

Falling flat

Maryland was presumably in the 2013 NCAA Tournament field after its two-point victory over Duke on Feb. 16, but it has dropped four of its last six games since that affair, including a 61-58 overtime loss to the Virginia Cavaliers as nine-point road underdogs Sunday.

The Terrapins are 8-10 SU and 7-10-1 ATS against conference foes this season, with the UNDER going 6-3 in that situation.

Recent history

NCAA Basketball odds makers are listing Maryland at -5.5, and college basketball handicappers are going to be eager to lay the points on the Terrapins, considering they won both meetings in the series by a combined 36 points this season, while capturing all four games under coach Mark Turgeon by an average of 16.0 points.

Maryland holds a massive edge over Wake Forest in field goal percentage defense and rebounding, which will likely lead to another victory Thursday.

Bench play

The Terrapins are dangerous in the ACC Tournament due to their bench play, as their reserves have outscored opponents by a 773-367 margin in that particular category, while the roster has 10 players that average double-figure minutes.

Maryland has outscored its opponents non-starters in 26 of 31 games this year, with Logan Aronhalt being one of the main contributors—knocking down 44.8 percent of his attempts from beyond the arc.

[gameodds]14/224454/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Terrapins as one of their college basketball picks Thursday, as they’ve gone 7-0-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in this series.

College Basketball Pick:  Maryland Terrapins -5.5 at Pinnacle