College Basketball Picks: Missouri -10.5 vs. Arkansas

PJ Laferla

Tuesday, March 5, 2013 6:09 PM UTC

Tuesday, Mar. 5, 2013 6:09 PM UTC

The Arkansas Razorbacks (18-11 SU, 5-6 ATS away) will be on the road tonight, as they prepare to face a familiar foe and SEC rival the Missouri Tigers (21-8 SU, 6-7 ATS home). Have the bookies left us any value for our sports picks tonight?

With both teams certain to gunning for a victory, lets find out which of the two is the better option for our sports picks in this one.

Gear up for the NCAA Torunament with SBR.

Tip off for this contest is slated for 7:00 PM EST from the Mizzou Arena in Columbia, Missouri and can be seen live on national television, with broadcast coverage provided by ESPN.

Sportsbooks such as Bet365 are given a heavy advantage to the home team in this matchup, listing Missouri as -10 ½ point favorites. The Tigers have delivered for us bettors lately on their home court; with a 7-3 ATS mark in their last ten games played at the Mizzou Arena. Meanwhile, the Razorbacks have performed poorly against the college basketball odds during their travels, going 20-47 in their last 67 games played on the road.

However, Arkansas is 7-3 ATS in their last ten versus conference opponents and an impressive 6-1 ATS in their last seven when going up against a team with a SU winning record.

When taking a look at the total, which is coming it a 151½, it should come to the surprise of no one that the sportsbooks are expecting a high scoring game, as both schools feature top tier offenses in the nation.

In fact, Arkansas is averaging 74.1 points per game, which ranks 38th overall in the country, while Missouri is even better with a 77.1 average, which comes in ranked at 17th best in the land.


The Pick

There are a couple motivating factors for Missouri in this contest, including the chance to go undefeated on their home court for the season, which if it happens would be the first time since the 2008-09 campaign. Also, as it stands right now the Tigers are tied for fourth place in the SEC, which is extremely important for them; given the top four teams earn a double bye in the upcoming conference tournament.

When adding those factors together and then including Arkansas’ 1-7 SEC road record this season, laying the chalk is the right play to make in this game.

NCAA Basketball Pick: Missouri -10 ½ at Bet365

Also chek out Jeff Grant's free pick for this matchup as well.

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