Top College Basketball Parlay Picks for Tuesday
Tuesday nights are glorious during college basketball season. Tonight brings 46 games with 38 betting opportunities. The month of December provides an added variable of reduced student attendance that limits home-court advantage. Follow along for our college basketball parlay picks.
First, we travel to Tampa where an overrated South Florida team plays host to the always dangerous Austin Peay Governors, who already have a true road win at Dayton on their resume.
Next, we examine whether the preseason favorite in the America East Conference, Stony Brook, can cover a big spread at home against Central Connecticut State. The Seawolves carry a potent offense that has lit up the scoreboard at home.
Finally, we analyze how head coach Wes Miller's Cincinnati team will respond after getting blown out by Xavier in the Crosstown Shootout. The Bearcats return home to face a Florida A&M team that is on the second leg of a seven-game road trip that carries into January.
Here are my top college basketball parlay picks for Tuesday's matchups (odds via DraftKings; pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Top College Basketball Parlay Picks
Austin Peay +7 (-105) at South Florida ???Stony Brook -15.5 (-110) vs. Central Connecticut State ????Cincinnati -20 (-105) vs. Florida A&M ????
SEE ALSO: Alabama vs. Memphis College Basketball Picks
Top College Basketball Parlay Predictions
Austin Peay +7 (-105)
This is a pick against South Florida, who has been underwhelming all season. The Bulls are coming off consecutive losses at Boston College and home to South Carolina State. South Florida is just 2-5 against the spread, including 2-4 at home.
The Bulls have a brutally poor offense, ranking 317th or worse in all three major categories: three-point percentage (350th), two-point percentage (326th), and free-throw shooting (317th). Head coach Brian Gregory's game plan is to slow the attack to a crawl and rely on a strong defense to win the game. That strategy will be countered by an Austin Peay attack that excels at forcing turnovers. The Governors forced 15 turnovers in their earlier win at Dayton.
Austin Peay has the ability to score from three-point range, averaging 36.4% from deep (66th in the nation). Head coach Nate James has four separate players averaging more than 12 points per game.
Points will be at a premium. I have no faith in the South Florida offense to score enough to cover this seven-point spread.
Stony Brook -15.5 (-110)
Don't be fooled by Stony Brook's record, the Seawolves have an explosive offense, especially at home. Stony Brook has already earned a 23-point win over American, a 17-point win over Hofstra, and an eight-point win over Bryant on their home floor. Now they host a Central Connecticut team with pitiful metrics on both sides of the ball.
The Blue Devils rank 337th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 340th in adjusted defensive efficiency, per KenPom. They average just 43.6% from inside the arc and a woeful 65.6% from the free-throw line. On defense, they allow a robust 54.5% from inside the arc and are a poor rebounding team on both sides of the floor. The Seawolves' guard trio of Anthony Roberts (14.8 PPG), Jahlil Jenkins (13.8 PPG), and Tykei Greene (10.2 PPG) provide scoring, rebounding, and tremendous on-ball pressure. As a team, the Seawolves average 7.4 steals per game.
Central Connecticut has been competitive ATS, carrying a 6-4 record through the first 10 games. However, this number is still too low against a Stony Brook team that has averaged 80 PPG at home. The Blue Devils will try to slow this game down, but once Stony Brook gets a lead, this game will quickly turn to a blowout. I'm laying the 15.5 points with the Seawolves on their home floor.
Cincinnati -20 (-105)
The Bearcats will be highly motivated after an embarrassing 20-point loss against their rival Xavier on Saturday. I'm viewing this as an outlier for this defense-first squad that rates among the nation's elite in defending inside and outside the arc. Cincinnati allows opponents to shoot just 26.3% from three (17th-best) and a microscopic 41.3% (11th-best) from the two-point range.
Florida A&M tries to generate points based on turnovers, ranking 34th in defensive turnover percentage, per KenPom. However, Cincinnati simply doesn't turn the ball over, ranking 14th-best in the nation at just 10 turnovers per game.
I think the Bearcats get up early in this game and cruise to a comfortable home win. I don't see Florida A&M scoring enough to keep this game competitive. Cincinnati beat a good Presbyterian team at home by 34 and a similar-profile Alabama A&M team by 33, I think this game follows a similar path.
Combined Odds: Austin Peay +7 (-105) + Stony Brook -15.5 (-110) + Cincinnati -20 (-105) = +604
SEE ALSO: All picks and odds. Be sure to check out SportsbookReview.com’s community forums and betting tools.
College basketball parlay picks made 12/14/2021 at 10:54 a.m. ET
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