College Basketball Odds & Best Bets Today: Schedule, Picks for Tuesday
Many college basketball teams can earn Quad 1 wins on Tuesday and strengthen their NCAA Tournament resumes. Read on for our college basketball best bets for Tuesday based on the top NCAAB odds.
Two of the country's top seven teams from last week get a chance to avenge losses on Tuesday, as Virginia hosts North Carolina State and Kansas State hosts TCU.
Here are our college basketball best bets for Tuesday (odds via Caesars, DraftKings, and FanDuel; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Check out our top college basketball picks and our best March Madness betting sites.
Tuesday’s college basketball schedule and odds
(odds via DraftKings)
- Marquette vs. UConn (-4)
- TCU vs. Kansas State (-4.5)
- Rutgers vs. Indiana (-4.5)
- Auburn vs. Texas A&M (-3)
Check out our best March Madness odds and Wooden Award odds.
College basketball best bets for Tuesday
- Spread: Texas A&M -2.5 (-120 via FanDuel) vs. Auburn ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Moneyline: Indiana (-188 via FanDuel) vs. Rutgers ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Total: St. John’s-Butler Over 144.5 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
- Upset: Marquette (+160 via DraftKings) vs. UConn ⭐⭐⭐
College basketball top picks
Spread: Texas A&M -2.5 vs. Auburn (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Texas A&M is 11-1 at home this year and has the SEC's best cover rate. The Aggies are 14-9 against the spread and have covered eight of 12 games as home favorites.
Though Auburn has covered both games it has played as an underdog, it still may be stewing about the non-foul call at the end of the Tennessee game, when the referees swallowed the whistle on a 3-point attempt with Auburn trailing 46-43.
Texas A&M should have similar success defensively as the Volunteers had, as it ranks 57th or better in effective field-goal percentage and turnover percentage forced (21.3%), while Auburn is outside the top 200 in both metrics offensively.
This is a solid four-star play, as the Aggies have a distinct advantage on the offensive glass (37.4% offensive-rebounding percentage ranks sixth nationally), and the Tigers allow the 283rd-highest percentage of offensive rebounds (31.0%).
In addition, the Aggies should be living at the free-throw line, as they rank fifth nationally in free throws attempted per field-goal attempt, while Auburn's defense is 200th in the same category.
We do not mind paying up slightly in juice at FanDuel, as it is the only sportsbook offering a spread as low as -2.5.
Moneyline: Indiana ML vs. Rutgers (-188) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Though Rutgers slugged out a big victory over Michigan State at Madison Square Garden over the weekend, it paid a high price in the process. Forward Mawot Mag went down with a knee injury with 6:25 remaining in the first half and did not return. Mag had scored seven of the team's first 13 points (was 3-of-4 from the field) and had made 10 of his previous 12 shots in two games against Iowa and Minnesota.
Mag entered Saturday's matchup averaging a career-high in minutes (25.4), scoring (7.9 points), rebounds (5.4), and assists (1.2). His absence leaves a big void when facing a Hoosiers squad fresh off the momentum of its home win against No. 1 ranked Purdue.
This line is up from an opening number of -150, so we are jumping on it now before it reaches as high as BetRivers' -205.
Total: St. John’s vs. Butler Over 144.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐
The Under has cashed in 10 of Butler's last 13 games, and the Bulldogs have averaged just 53.4 points during a five-game losing streak. However, one remedy for fixing a poor offense is facing a St. John's team that has allowed 180 points in the last two games and 104 points to Creighton two weeks ago.
The Bulldogs have seen the Red Storm's second-ranked adjusted tempo in person, and we expect them to commit fewer than the 20 turnovers at Hinkle Fieldhouse that they did at St. John's.
Butler should also get more out of forward Manny Bates in this matchup, whose minutes have increased in his previous three games back from injury. On the other side, the Red Storm make 35.2% of their 3-point shots in league play (fourth-best).
Upset: Marquette ML vs. UConn (+160) ⭐⭐⭐
UConn has stopped the bleeding with three wins in the last four games. However, those victories came against Butler, DePaul, and Georgetown, the three worst teams in the Big East. The Huskies are a combined 1-5 against teams ahead of them in the league standings and have lost two of three home games.
Marquette is the league's best team in terms of KenPom's adjusted offensive efficiency, effective field-goal percentage, and turnover percentage, and it forces turnovers on a league-best 23.5% of opponents' offensive possessions.
DraftKings provides the best value for Marquette backers, as competing sportsbooks are at +155 or lower.
College basketball best bets made 2/7/2023 at 6:16 a.m. ET.
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