Elite Sun Belt Teams Have a Big Total, is it Accurate?

Friday, March 8, 2019 10:42 PM UTC

Friday, Mar. 8, 2019 10:42 PM UTC

The Sun Belt Conference has three teams tied for first place and two are meeting Saturday night, both from the Peachtree State. What happens on the total?

<p style="text-align:center;"><strong>Georgia State (15-14 Under) at Georgia Southern (15-12-1 Under)</strong></p><p style="text-align:center;"><strong>Saturday, 5:00 pm ET (ESPN+)</strong></p><p style="text-align:center;"><strong>Free NCAAB Pick: <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/ncaa-basketball/georgia-state-panthers-vs-georgia-southern-eagles-3649474/odds/" target="_blank">Under</a></strong></p><p style="text-align:center;"><strong>Best Line Offered: <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4453&amp;book=Intertops" target="_blank">Intertops</a></strong></p><p style="text-align:center;">[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3649474, "sportsbooksIds":[180,139,19,93,999996], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p> </p><p><strong>Big Day In The Sun Belt</strong></p><p>Texas State, Georgia State, and Georgia Southern all have 12-5 records in the Sun Belt. The Bobcats have a tough assignment at Texas-Arlington, who is one game behind the leaders and they have already beaten Texas State. If UTAR pulls off the sweep in afternoon action, that would make this contest for the SBC regular season title and No. 1 seed for next week's tourney.</p><p>The beginning <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/ncaa-basketball/merged/?date=20190309" target="_blank">college hoops odds </a>for this showdown have Georgia Southern aa s 4.5-point home favorite with a total of 160. The total is nearly identical to the previous battle, closing at 160.5, with Georgia State winning 81-72 as 2.5-point home favorites.</p><p>The oddsmakers are of the opinion their previous number was correct despite falling short of the set total and would appear to think that the Eagles playing at home will dictate the tempo. In Georgia Southern's 30 contests, the average score has been 158.9 points, compared to their bitter rivals at 151.1 total points.</p><p>Overall the sportsbooks have done a good job in reading each team just a little more off on the home on the overall record, however, because of the perception of the Eagles them averaging 83.4 points a game, most likely the majority of bets have gone to the Over side.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;The &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/GSAthletics_MBB?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@GSAthletics_MBB&lt;/a&gt; is set to host &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/GeorgiaStateMBB?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@GeorgiaStateMBB&lt;/a&gt; with at least a share of the Sun Belt regular season championship on the line and as expected, tickets to Saturday’s in-state clash are running low.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Read more here: &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/RqCISUpYBw\"&gt;https://t.co/RqCISUpYBw&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Article by: &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/McclainBaxley?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@McclainBaxley&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/lFq0QZpyTt\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/lFq0QZpyTt&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— The George-Anne (@TheGeorgeAnne) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/TheGeorgeAnne/status/1104086032545398784?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;March 8, 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><p> </p><h2><strong>How To Look at This Confrontation</strong></h2><p>In the prior game, Georgia State was able to break down the Eagles defense and they were 30 for 60 from the field and made 10 of 27 from behind the arc. Leading scorer D'Marcus Simonds was particular effective posting 29 points, mirroring his team's shooting, connecting on half of his 20 attempts and at 4 for 8 in long-range shooting.</p><p>The Panthers did not have a bad shooting eye a 46.4 percent, but they lost the game from deep in making only 5 of 19 three-balls.</p><p>Back home, Georgia Southern figures to do better in a more familiar setting where they are 10-3 (5-6 ATS) and averaging 85.4 PPG. Granted, facing easier non-conference competition played a part in the Eagles allowing 68.8 PPG in Statesboro, but in the last few weeks of the season, they have trended that direction in conceding only 65.8 PPG.</p><p>To beat Georgia State, the home team will have to slow Simonds down and do a better job on the perimeter as the Panthers four other starters and two players off the bench all drill at least 40 percent behind the line.</p><h2> </h2><h2><strong>The Totals Outcome</strong></h2><p>For<a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/ncaa-basketball/" target="_blank"> college basketball picks</a> it seems this total will be a bit too higher again. Georgia Southern as mentioned plays stingier defense at home and they are 8-2-1 Under at Hanner Fieldhouse. The Eagles come into this game on a 6-0 Under run and 9-2 Under in their last 11.</p><p>Georgia State scoring average slips to 72.2 PPG in true road games. With the Panthers 6-7 SU in real roadies, their opponent tonight is 8-0 Under versus foes with a losing away record.</p>
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