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College basketball best bets.
College basketball best bets.

Two mouth-watering Jimmy V Classic games at Madison Square Garden headline a fantastic early-week college basketball slate. We've highlighted the odds, movements, and our college basketball best bets for Tuesday based on the latest odds.

The first NET rankings were released on Monday. To the surprise of no one, the Houston Cougars were atop the list. However, the NET features the 9-0 UConn Huskies at No. 2, with the Purdue Boilermakers following them as the only team in the country with three Quad 1 wins.

Here are our best bets for Tuesday’s college basketball slate (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook, BetRivers, and BetMGM; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Tuesday’s College Basketball Schedule and Odds

  • Illinois (+120) vs. Texas (-140)
  • UNC Greensboro (+1000) vs. Arkansas (-2100)
  • North Florida vs. Houston (no moneyline, -28.5)
  • James Madison (+480) vs. Virginia (-645)
  • Tarleton (+1300) vs. Baylor (-4000)
  • Maryland (-105) vs. Wisconsin (-115)
  • Iowa (+130) vs. Duke (-150)

(odds via DraftKings Sportsbook)

Tuesday’s College Basketball Best Bets

  •  Spread: Virginia -10.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
  •  Moneyline: Wisconsin (-110 via BetMGM)
  • Total: Yale-Butler Under 133 (-110 via BetRivers)
  • Upset: Iowa (+130 via DraftKings) vs. Duke

Top College Basketball Picks for Tuesday

Spread: Virginia -10.5 (-110)★★★★

Revenge is on the Cavaliers' minds after losing in Harrisonburg 52-49 to the Dukes in 2021-22. That was one of many frustrating losses for Tony Bennett's squad before finishing 21-14 and ending the season disappointingly in the NIT. However, the 2022-23 Virginia team looks like it can win the ACC and make a Final Four run, especially after surviving its first three massive tests (at home to Baylor and Illinois, and visiting Michigan).

The Dukes give the impression they can dominate an inferior opponent, but James Madison can't raise its game enough to beat top-tier teams. The school has scored 95-plus points in six of its seven wins, but it was held to 71.5 points in losses to UNC and Valparaiso. Expect a Cavaliers defense that ranks in the top 20 in adjusted efficiency to limit the Dukes even further. And perhaps Virginia's most impressive trait is that it plays elite defense without fouling, ranking in the top 15 in the country in opponents' free-throw attempts and field-goal attempts.

Surprisingly, this number has been moving in James Madison's favor. The opening number of -11.5 is still featured at a few select sportsbooks, but there's much more value available at BetMGM, the lone book offering -10.5.

Check out our top sports betting sites in Virginia.

Moneyline: Wisconsin (-110)★★★

Kevin Willard has done an outstanding job eight games into his tenure as Maryland's head coach, with the last win the most impressive of the bunch (a five-point home victory over Illinois). However, the Terrapins' only true road game came while visiting a disgruntled Louisville team off to a historically poor start (0-8).

A trip to Madison is night and day compared to what the KFC Yum! Center is like, and the Badgers usually end with the advantage from the 3-point line. They rank in the top 53 in both 3-point shooting (37.4%) and 3-point defense (27.4%). Tyler Wahl notched 21 points during a 70-69 road win at Maryland in 2021-22, and the Terrapins' defense is vulnerable inside the arc. The team ranks outside the top 60 in 2-point percentage allowed, but it's 13th in defending the 3-point line.

Wisconsin is 5-1 ATS in its last six games against teams with a .600 or better winning percentage. The Badgers should start Big Ten play on a high note.

This line has jumped the fence from Maryland -1.5, and we fully support that movement. Instead of laying as much as -1.5 with the Badgers on the point spread, BetMGM is offering great value with standard vig for them to simply win outright.

Total: Yale-Butler Under 133 (-110)★★★★★

James Jones' Yale Bulldogs are unusually big for an Ivy League team. Their entire backcourt is at least 6-foot-4, which is a big reason why they rank 15th in effective field-goal percentage defense and offensive rebounds allowed (21.3%).

EJ Jarvis is back after finishing second in the conference in block rate and third in offensive rebounding percentage. The Bulldogs held opponents to .89 points per possession when he was on the floor, according to Hoop Lens. Jarvis should be a menace for Manny Bates and the rest of Butler's frontcourt.

On the other end of the court, Yale's offensive struggles are due mainly to an inability to create easy baskets. The school ranks 355th in the country in free throws attempted per field-goal attempt. More than 41% of Yale's shots are from beyond the arc, and the team has connected on just 33.3% (179th) of those shots. 

BetRivers is the only sportsbook offering a total of 133, while all others are at 132.5.

Upset: Iowa (+130)★★★

Duke rotates players who are 6-foot-10, 7-foot, and 7-foot-1 in its frontcourt, which has led to the nation's second-best offensive rebounding rate (41%). That could be a concern for Hawkeyes backers, as Iowa allows opponents to rebound 31.2% of their misses (265th).

However, Iowa is the country's least turnover-prone team (12.9% of possessions end in turnovers), and the Hawkeyes are fourth in adjusted offensive efficiency. The 6-foot-8 Kris Murray is a matchup nightmare for opposing defenses. Fran McCaffery will likely utilize his undersized bunch, forcing the bigger, slower-footed Blue Devils to get away from their strengths and play with smaller lineups.

Iowa returns over 61% of the players who logged the team's minutes in 2021-22. That will pay huge dividends in a game of this magnitude.

Where to Bet on College Basketball

Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:

College basketball best bets from 12/6/2022 at 6:20 a.m. ET.