Clemson to Pull Minor Upset of Auburn in Tiger Fight

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Swinging Johnson

Sunday, March 18, 2018 11:48 AM UTC

Sunday, Mar. 18, 2018 11:48 AM UTC

No. 5 Clemson, which advanced to the second round of the NCAA Tournament for the first time in 21 years, will meet the No. 4 Auburn tonight at 7:10 ET. Let’s analyze this Midwest Region matchup and find a winner!

Clemson (24-9 SU, 18-11 ATS) vs. Auburn (26-7 SU, 18-12 ATS)Free NCAAB Pick: Clemson +1½Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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What's Trending

Auburn is 0-3 ATS in March and 1-6 ATS over their last seven games.

Auburn is 3-3 ATS in neutral-court games.

Clemson is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.

Clemson is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite.

Clemson is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight-up win.

Clemson is 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 neutral-site games as an underdog.

Analysis

All four No. 5 seeds advanced in the opening round, including the Clemson Tigers, when they joined the club with a 79-68 win over New Mexico State as 3½-point favorites. There was quite a bit of action steaming in on the Aggies as they opened as six-point underdogs but saw that number drop to as low as three when the game tipped at many of the major online sportsbooks. But the Tigers were terrific from the field, shooting 56 percent, and bested New Mexico State not only on the scoreboard but on the glass, in steals, and in blocks.

Meanwhile, the Auburn Tigers had their hands full with lightly regarded Charleston but prevailed 62-58 and avoided an embarrassing exit from the tournament by a No. 13 seed. Although the Tigers got the W, those backing them in their college basketball picks got the big – well, you know what, especially if you’re one of those backers – and failed as 9½-point chalk. It was not a pretty game for Auburn and had it not been for senior guard Jared Harper drilling a long-range three with a little more than a minute to play, the result could have been very different. The Tigers are 3-4 straight up over their last seven but a money-burning 1-6 ATS over that span.

This is a test between the stout defense of Clemson and the prolific scoring of Auburn. But let’s take a look at how that Auburn offense has produced recently. Over the last five games the 18th-ranked offense of Auburn, averaging 82.7 points per game, has produced just 70.4 PPG, a drop of 12 points per game! Even Clemson, a team based solidly on defense, has a higher scoring average over their last five with 71 points per game.

This should be an interesting game. However, I believe Clemson is in a better situation to get the win here. It appears as though this team is ready to move forward without one of their anchors in Donte Grantham. Although the talented senior has been out for a total of 14 games, including Friday night’s win, the team has gone just 8-6 straight up but it appears as though Clemson is getting used to not relying on Grantham as evidenced by their covering the college basketball odds in four of their last five games. Clemson has demonstrated their defense is still on point, while Auburn’s offense appears stalled. Back the Tigers … you can’t lose!

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📸 x 115https://t.co/rkeeynNAgM pic.twitter.com/wJoyP7oluX

— Clemson Men's Basketball (@ClemsonMBB) March 17, 2018
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